NeoGames Valuation

Is NGMS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NGMS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NGMS ($29.45) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($18.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NGMS is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NGMS?

Key metric: As NGMS is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for NGMS. This is calculated by dividing NGMS's market cap by their current revenue.
What is NGMS's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio5.2x
SalesUS$191.54m
Market CapUS$998.21m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does NGMS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for NGMS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.2x
MSC Studio City International Holdings
2xn/aUS$1.3b
ACEL Accel Entertainment
0.8x2.8%US$958.5m
BALY Bally's
0.3x2.2%US$721.0m
EVRI Everi Holdings
1.5x4.2%US$1.2b
NGMS NeoGames
5.2x19.0%US$998.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: NGMS is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.2x) compared to the peer average (1.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does NGMS's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

29 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BLMN Bloomin' Brands
0.3x-2.7%US$1.12b
BALY Bally's
0.3x2.2%US$721.02m
TAST Carrols Restaurant Group
0.3x2.9%US$478.64m
CNTY Century Casinos
0.2x5.9%US$134.70m
NGMS 5.2xIndustry Avg. 1.6xNo. of Companies29PS01.22.43.64.86+
29 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: NGMS is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.2x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (1.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NGMS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NGMS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio5.2x
Fair PS Ratio2.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: NGMS is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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