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- Hospitality
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- NasdaqGS:NDLS
Noodles' (NASDAQ:NDLS) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Although, when we looked at Noodles (NASDAQ:NDLS), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Noodles:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.016 = US$4.9m ÷ (US$368m - US$68m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to January 2024).
So, Noodles has an ROCE of 1.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Hospitality industry average of 9.5%.
View our latest analysis for Noodles
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Noodles compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Noodles .
What Can We Tell From Noodles' ROCE Trend?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Noodles, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 1.6% from 2.6% five years ago. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
What We Can Learn From Noodles' ROCE
To conclude, we've found that Noodles is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Since the stock has declined 65% over the last five years, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
Noodles does have some risks, we noticed 3 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:NDLS
Noodles
A restaurant concept company, develops and operates fast-casual restaurants.
Slight and fair value.