Stock Analysis

We Like Nathan's Famous' (NASDAQ:NATH) Earnings For More Than Just Statutory Profit

NasdaqGS:NATH
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The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from Nathan's Famous, Inc. (NASDAQ:NATH) despite the healthy numbers. Our analysis suggests that shareholders might be missing some positive underlying factors in the earnings report.

Check out our latest analysis for Nathan's Famous

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NasdaqGS:NATH Earnings and Revenue History August 15th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Nathan's Famous' Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Nathan's Famous has an accrual ratio of -0.13 for the year to June 2024. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of US$23m, well over the US$21.5m it reported in profit. Nathan's Famous' free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Nathan's Famous.

Our Take On Nathan's Famous' Profit Performance

Nathan's Famous' accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Nathan's Famous' earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at 69% per year over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. While conducting our analysis, we found that Nathan's Famous has 3 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Nathan's Famous' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nathan's Famous might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.