Stock Analysis

Nathan's Famous (NASDAQ:NATH) Could Become A Multi-Bagger

NasdaqGS:NATH
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Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Speaking of which, we noticed some great changes in Nathan's Famous' (NASDAQ:NATH) returns on capital, so let's have a look.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Nathan's Famous, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.48 = US$29m ÷ (US$114m - US$53m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).

So, Nathan's Famous has an ROCE of 48%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Hospitality industry average of 9.9%.

Check out our latest analysis for Nathan's Famous

roce
NasdaqGS:NATH Return on Capital Employed June 1st 2022

Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Nathan's Famous' ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating Nathan's Famous' past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Can We Tell From Nathan's Famous' ROCE Trend?

Nathan's Famous is showing promise given that its ROCE is trending up and to the right. Looking at the data, we can see that even though capital employed in the business has remained relatively flat, the ROCE generated has risen by 21% over the last five years. Basically the business is generating higher returns from the same amount of capital and that is proof that there are improvements in the company's efficiencies. It's worth looking deeper into this though because while it's great that the business is more efficient, it might also mean that going forward the areas to invest internally for the organic growth are lacking.

On a side note, we noticed that the improvement in ROCE appears to be partly fueled by an increase in current liabilities. Effectively this means that suppliers or short-term creditors are now funding 47% of the business, which is more than it was five years ago. Given it's pretty high ratio, we'd remind investors that having current liabilities at those levels can bring about some risks in certain businesses.

The Key Takeaway

To bring it all together, Nathan's Famous has done well to increase the returns it's generating from its capital employed. Since the total return from the stock has been almost flat over the last five years, there might be an opportunity here if the valuation looks good. So researching this company further and determining whether or not these trends will continue seems justified.

If you'd like to know more about Nathan's Famous, we've spotted 3 warning signs, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

If you'd like to see other companies earning high returns, check out our free list of companies earning high returns with solid balance sheets here.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nathan's Famous might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.