Duolingo (DUOL) Stock Overview
Operates as a mobile learning platform in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 4/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 6/6 |
| Financial Health | 6/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
DUOL Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 488 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
Duolingo, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$106.48 |
| 52 Week High | US$540.30 |
| 52 Week Low | US$87.89 |
| Beta | 0.90 |
| 1 Month Change | 2.93% |
| 3 Month Change | -4.63% |
| 1 Year Change | -79.72% |
| 3 Year Change | -29.04% |
| 5 Year Change | n/a |
| Change since IPO | -23.40% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • May 16
DUOL: User Growth Pivot And Buyback May Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed the Duolingo fair value estimate slightly to about $134 from about $136. This reflects reduced revenue growth assumptions, a modestly higher discount rate, and lower future P/E expectations, partly offset by a slightly higher profit margin outlook after a series of mixed price target changes and ratings downgrades across the Street.Seeking Alpha • May 16
Duolingo: Is Management Right To Focus On DAU Instead Of Monetization?
Summary Duolingo faces bearish sentiment after growth slowdown, management’s AI focus, and concerns over user metrics transparency. Q1 FY26 showed DAU growth dropping to 21% and MAU to 6%, with management shifting focus from monetization to user acquisition. AI integration has accelerated content creation and engagement, raising DAU/MAU to 41%, but monetization remains uncertain, especially outside the US. Despite risks, a DCF-based analysis suggests at least 56% upside, supporting a Buy rating as bearish theses appear over-discounted. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • May 01
DUOL: User Growth Pivot And AI Expansion Will Define Balanced Risk Reward
The analyst price target for Duolingo has been trimmed slightly to $104.97 from $105.73 as analysts factor in the company’s pivot toward user growth over near term monetization, more conservative bookings expectations for 2026, and a modest reset in long term revenue growth, margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Street research around Duolingo has turned more cautious as the company leans into a user growth first playbook and reins in 2026 bookings expectations.Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 16
DUOL: User Growth Pivot And Buyback May Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed the Duolingo fair value estimate slightly to about $134 from about $136. This reflects reduced revenue growth assumptions, a modestly higher discount rate, and lower future P/E expectations, partly offset by a slightly higher profit margin outlook after a series of mixed price target changes and ratings downgrades across the Street.Seeking Alpha • May 16
Duolingo: Is Management Right To Focus On DAU Instead Of Monetization?
Summary Duolingo faces bearish sentiment after growth slowdown, management’s AI focus, and concerns over user metrics transparency. Q1 FY26 showed DAU growth dropping to 21% and MAU to 6%, with management shifting focus from monetization to user acquisition. AI integration has accelerated content creation and engagement, raising DAU/MAU to 41%, but monetization remains uncertain, especially outside the US. Despite risks, a DCF-based analysis suggests at least 56% upside, supporting a Buy rating as bearish theses appear over-discounted. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • May 01
DUOL: User Growth Pivot And AI Expansion Will Define Balanced Risk Reward
The analyst price target for Duolingo has been trimmed slightly to $104.97 from $105.73 as analysts factor in the company’s pivot toward user growth over near term monetization, more conservative bookings expectations for 2026, and a modest reset in long term revenue growth, margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Street research around Duolingo has turned more cautious as the company leans into a user growth first playbook and reins in 2026 bookings expectations.Narrative Update • Apr 17
DUOL: User Growth Pivot And AI Roadmap May Unlock Future Upside
Analysts made a small upward adjustment to Duolingo's fair value estimate to $136.17 as they factor in the company's pivot toward user growth, tempered revenue and margin expectations, and a slightly higher assumed future P/E of about 36.8x following a series of downgrades and reset price targets clustered around $85 to $114. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage has shifted toward a more cautious stance on Duolingo as the company leans into user growth and accepts lower near term visibility on monetization and margins.Narrative Update • Apr 03
DUOL: User Growth Pivot And AI Product Work Will Support Upside
Analysts have cut the Duolingo fair value estimate from $156.52 to $136.16, reflecting a series of price target reductions as they reassess monetization, growth visibility, and the impact of the company’s pivot toward user growth over near term profitability. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has tilted cautious on Duolingo, with a series of downgrades and lower price targets following the company’s decision to prioritize daily active user growth over near term monetization and margins.Narrative Update • Mar 19
DUOL: User Expansion Pivot And AI Investments Will Shape Balanced Future Prospects
Analysts have reduced the Duolingo fair value estimate from about $270.74 to $105.73. This reflects a broad reset in price targets as they reassess slower projected revenue growth, lower profit margins, and a more cautious future P/E multiple tied to the company's pivot toward user growth over near-term monetization.
New Narrative • Mar 06
Duolingo: Billion Dollar Business Hiding in Plain Sight
Duolingo just crossed $1 billion in revenue and delivered a 367% surge in net earnings — yet the stock trades at a trailing P/E of just 11x. For a market-leading EdTech platform with 50 million daily active users, that’s a number you’d normally associate with a slow-moving industrial company, not one of the most recognisable consumer brands on the planet.Narrative Update • Mar 05
DUOL: Long Term User Focus And AI Features Will Drive Upside
Narrative Update: Duolingo Our updated narrative fair value for Duolingo shifts to $156.52 from $347.00, reflecting analysts' broad reset of price targets to the $85 to $114 range as they recalibrate expectations for bookings growth, profitability, and future P/E multiples in light of the company's focus on user growth over near term monetization. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Duolingo has tilted cautious, with many firms resetting ratings to Neutral or equivalent and clustering price targets around the US$85 to US$114 range.
New Narrative • Feb 28
Duolingo (DUOL): The AI Learning Architect – Trading Profits for a 100M User Vision
Duolingo (DUOL) is currently undergoing its most significant strategic shift since its IPO, transitioning from a monetization-heavy model to a "user-growth first" strategy. This pivot was punctuated by its Q4 2025 earnings report on Thursday, February 26, 2026 , where the company beat expectations with $282.9 million in revenue (up 35% YoY) but issued guidance that sparked a massive sell-off.
Narrative Update • Feb 19
DUOL: User Engagement And CFO Transition Will Shape Future Repricing Potential
Analysts have trimmed Duolingo's implied upside, with the consolidated price target moving toward $160 as they factor in slightly higher discount rates, modestly adjusted growth expectations, and recent target cuts from firms citing tempered user growth estimates and a more selective market for high multiple internet names. Analyst Commentary Recent research has tilted more cautious, with several Bearish analysts trimming price targets and flagging execution and growth risks around user trends and valuation for Duolingo.Analysis Article • Feb 05
Earnings Working Against Duolingo, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DUOL) Share Price Following 37% Dive
Duolingo, Inc. ( NASDAQ:DUOL ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 37...Narrative Update • Feb 05
DUOL: Long Term User Focus And New Offerings Will Shape Future Repricing
Narrative Update Analysts trimmed their Duolingo fair value estimate from $180 to $160, as lower projected profit margins and valuation multiples outweighed slightly higher modeled revenue growth and a modestly reduced discount rate. This aligns with recent Street price target cuts and more cautious user growth expectations.Narrative Update • Jan 22
DUOL: Long Term User Focus And Chess Expansion Will Drive Upside
Analysts cut their Duolingo fair value estimate from about $600 to roughly $347, reflecting lower price targets and more moderate assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, future P/E multiples, and a slightly higher discount rate, as recent research highlights a focus on longer term user growth over near term monetization and mixed reactions to product and user growth trends. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Duolingo centers on a trade off between near term monetization and longer term user growth.Narrative Update • Jan 08
DUOL: Long Term User Focus And Product Experiments Will Shape Future Repricing
Our Duolingo fair value estimate has been reset from US$390 to US$180 as analysts broadly trim price targets and factor in slightly slower modeled revenue growth, a lower future P/E, and the company's increased focus on long term user expansion over near term monetization following the recent Q3 update and Chess product commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more cautious stance on Duolingo, with several bearish analysts cutting price targets and, in one case, removing a target altogether.Narrative Update • Dec 16
DUOL: Long-Term User Expansion Focus Will Drive Renewed Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their Duolingo price target slightly to about $271 from roughly $271.05, reflecting modestly higher discount rates and a greater focus on long term user growth and product investment over near term monetization, even as they acknowledge improving revenue growth and margin expectations. Analyst Commentary Street research highlights a wide range of views on Duolingo, with most firms trimming price targets but maintaining generally constructive stances on the company’s long term growth algorithm and product roadmap.Narrative Update • Dec 01
DUOL: Long-Term User Growth Focus Will Drive Renewed Interest Ahead
Duolingo's fair value estimate has been revised downward from $289.81 to $271.05 as analysts reacted to a series of price target reductions. These adjustments were driven by concerns over the company's shifting focus toward long-term user growth instead of prioritizing near-term monetization and profitability.Narrative Update • Nov 17
DUOL: Focus On Long-Term User Engagement Will Drive Sustained Platform Expansion
Duolingo’s fair value estimate has been sharply reduced from approximately $443 to $290 per share. Analysts point to a combination of lower growth expectations and a strategic pivot toward long-term user engagement over immediate profitability.Narrative Update • Nov 01
DUOL: User Growth Concerns Will Fade As Engagement Increases In Key Markets
Duolingo's analyst price target has been lowered by $6.50 to $442.74 per share. Analysts cite ongoing concerns over user growth and recent valuation adjustments, even as revenue continues to grow.Narrative Update • Oct 17
China And Asia Expansion Will Transform Digital Education
Analysts have slightly trimmed Duolingo's fair value estimate by $2.50, as modest adjustments to user growth expectations and continued competitive risks are tempering near-term optimism for the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst reviews of Duolingo reflect a balanced mix of optimism about the company's product strengths and ongoing concerns related to user growth and competition.Analysis Article • Oct 09
Duolingo, Inc. (NASDAQ:DUOL) Looks Just Right With A 27% Price Jump
Those holding Duolingo, Inc. ( NASDAQ:DUOL ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the...Narrative Update • Oct 03
China And Asia Expansion Will Transform Digital Education
Duolingo's analyst fair value estimate has been slightly reduced by approximately $5 to $451.74, as analysts cite ongoing concerns about slower user growth and increased competition, which are impacting future performance expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst research highlights a mix of cautious sentiment and continued confidence in Duolingo's long-term prospects, focusing on user growth trends, competitive risks, and valuation concerns.Narrative Update • Sep 05
China And Asia Expansion Will Transform Digital Education
Duolingo’s consensus price target was modestly reduced to $478.65 as analysts cite weaker-than-expected user growth trends, persistent competition risks, and recent social media setbacks, partially offset by confidence in the company’s growth prospects beyond language learning. Analyst Commentary Decelerating user growth and indications that active users and subscribers are trending below consensus estimates have led bearish analysts to reduce targets and downgrade ratings.Analysis Article • Jul 11
Duolingo (NASDAQ:DUOL) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Ideally, a...Analysis Article • Jun 13
Is Duolingo, Inc. (NASDAQ:DUOL) Potentially Undervalued?
Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Duolingo, Inc. ( NASDAQ:DUOL ). The company's stock received a...Analysis Article • May 29
Is Now The Time To Put Duolingo (NASDAQ:DUOL) On Your Watchlist?
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Seeking Alpha • Apr 28
Duolingo: Love The Business, Don't Love The Valuation
Summary Duolingo is the largest global language learning platform, with 116m monthly active users and 9.5m paid subscribers. In 2024, Duolingo grew revenues by 41% and reported 26% adjusted EBITDA margins. Duolingo continues to increase its total addressable market by expanding internationally, launching new verticals (e.g., maths, music, chess), and launching premium AI-enabled language learning tiers. Duolingo trades on a rich multiple of 17x forward revenue and 66x forward earnings. While Duolingo is a high-quality business, the current valuation does not present an attractive risk reward, so I rate Duolingo a hold. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 10
Duolingo: Still A Bargain At 35x FCF? I Think So
Summary I love that Duolingo is growing fast and throwing off meaningful free cash flow—those two don’t often go together. The fact that they have no debt and nearly a billion in cash gives me confidence, especially in a shaky macro environment. I’m bullish because they’re not just coasting—they’re innovating with AI, expanding into new subjects, and upselling premium plans. Valuation wise, 35x forward FCF feels entirely fair to me for a business compounding at over 30% annually with rising margins. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 28
Duolingo: AI Concerns Are Overblown, But Stock Is Already Overpriced Anyway
Summary Duolingo, Inc.'s stock fell ~15% after reporting Q4 results, despite healthy user growth and an acceleration in bookings. AI displacement fears are unwarranted; Duolingo's user metrics and advanced AI features show strong resilience and continued growth. Risks include potential user attrition after course completion, macroeconomic challenges, and a high valuation that limits upside potential. At current valuations, Duolingo's multiples are difficult to justify. I'm reiterating my neutral rating and wouldn't buy DUOL stock unless its revenue multiple fell to the high single digits/low teens. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| DUOL | US Consumer Services | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -6.7% | -1.2% | 2.5% |
| 1Y | -79.7% | -26.3% | 26.4% |
Return vs Industry: DUOL underperformed the US Consumer Services industry which returned -26.3% over the past year.
Return vs Market: DUOL underperformed the US Market which returned 26.4% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| DUOL volatility | |
|---|---|
| DUOL Average Weekly Movement | 8.5% |
| Consumer Services Industry Average Movement | 7.4% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.5% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: DUOL has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: DUOL's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 900 | Luis von Ahn Arellano | www.duolingo.com |
Duolingo, Inc. operates as a mobile learning platform in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers 250 language courses, including Spanish, English, French, German, Italian, Portuguese, Japanese, and Chinese through its Duolingo app. It also provides a digital English language proficiency assessment exam.
Duolingo, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| DUOL fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$4.97b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$422.39m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$1.10b |
11.7x
P/E Ratio4.5x
P/S RatioIs DUOL overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| DUOL income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$1.10b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$300.36m |
| Gross Profit | US$798.46m |
| Other Expenses | US$376.07m |
| Earnings | US$422.39m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 9.07 |
| Gross Margin | 72.67% |
| Net Profit Margin | 38.44% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 0% |
How did DUOL perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/26 10:16 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/26 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Duolingo, Inc. is covered by 30 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Vikram Kesavabhotla | Baird |
| X. Lu | Barclays |
| Ross Sandler | Barclays |