Stock Analysis

3 US Stocks That May Be Trading Below Estimated Intrinsic Value

Published

As major U.S. indexes opened sharply lower recently, driven by a decline in tech stocks following earnings reports, investors are closely watching economic data and Federal Reserve decisions on interest rates. In this environment of fluctuating market conditions, identifying stocks that may be trading below their estimated intrinsic value can provide opportunities for investors seeking potential growth at a relative discount.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In The United States

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Provident Financial Services (NYSE:PFS)$19.03$37.9249.8%
Western Alliance Bancorporation (NYSE:WAL)$84.27$168.2449.9%
Bank of Marin Bancorp (NasdaqCM:BMRC)$22.73$44.3548.7%
California Resources (NYSE:CRC)$52.32$104.3549.9%
UFP Technologies (NasdaqCM:UFPT)$274.00$537.5749%
WEX (NYSE:WEX)$173.76$343.5149.4%
Vitesse Energy (NYSE:VTS)$25.12$49.4649.2%
ChromaDex (NasdaqCM:CDXC)$3.58$7.1549.9%
AeroVironment (NasdaqGS:AVAV)$216.60$419.1348.3%
Rapid7 (NasdaqGM:RPD)$41.30$81.7149.5%

Click here to see the full list of 193 stocks from our Undervalued US Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's review some notable picks from our screened stocks.

Duolingo (NasdaqGS:DUOL)

Overview: Duolingo, Inc. operates as a mobile learning platform in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally with a market cap of approximately $12.84 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue of $634.49 million from its educational software segment.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 37.3%

Duolingo is trading at US$299.97, significantly below its estimated fair value of US$478.71, suggesting it may be undervalued based on cash flows. The company recently became profitable and forecasts show earnings growing significantly faster than the market, with a high return on equity expected in three years. Recent partnerships with WEBTOON and Sony Music aim to enhance user engagement and expand content offerings, potentially supporting future revenue growth beyond the current forecast of 22.3% annually.

NasdaqGS:DUOL Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

monday.com (NasdaqGS:MNDY)

Overview: monday.com Ltd., along with its subsidiaries, develops software applications across various regions including the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the United Kingdom, with a market cap of approximately $15.08 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue primarily comes from its Internet Software & Services segment, totaling $844.78 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 14.6%

monday.com, trading at US$300.23, is valued below its fair value of US$351.61. The company recently turned profitable with earnings expected to grow significantly faster than the market at 27.9% annually. Despite recent shareholder dilution, revenue forecasts show a robust growth trajectory of 20.9% per year, supported by strong Q2 results and new product offerings like the Portfolio management solution aimed at enhancing enterprise client workflows and productivity.

NasdaqGS:MNDY Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Zscaler (NasdaqGS:ZS)

Overview: Zscaler, Inc. is a global cloud security company with a market cap of approximately $28.95 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue primarily from sales of subscription services to its cloud platform and related support services, totaling approximately $2.17 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 31.8%

Zscaler, trading at US$186.78, is considered undervalued with an estimated fair value of US$274.01, suggesting a significant discount. Despite past shareholder dilution and insider selling, Zscaler's earnings are projected to grow 40.23% annually as it aims for profitability within three years. Recent strategic integrations with Okta and Airtel highlight its focus on enhancing cybersecurity solutions and expanding market reach, potentially bolstering future cash flows amidst growing demand for secure digital transformations.

NasdaqGS:ZS Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Key Takeaways

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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