Domino's Pizza, Inc.

NasdaqGS:DPZ Stock Report

Market Cap: US$10.4b

Domino's Pizza Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 2/6

Domino's Pizza has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 5.6%, while the Hospitality industry saw earnings growing at 31.9% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 2.7% per year.

Key information

5.65%

Earnings growth rate

8.09%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality Industry Growth19.52%
Revenue growth rate2.75%
Return on equityn/a
Net Margin11.89%
Last Earnings Update22 Mar 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha May 07

Domino's Pizza: Stale Shares Present Opportunity

Summary Domino's is trading near its 52-week lows at levels last seen in 2023. The pizza joint is down over 30% in the last year, including losses of over 20% YTD. The weakness is tied in part to a trifecta of lower consumer sentiment, higher gas prices, and increased competition. I see value in the pullback and view DPZ shares as attractive. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative May 02

Carryout Expansion And Tech Upgrades Will Support Long Term Strength

Catalysts About Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza operates a global quick service pizza network focused on delivery and carryout through a largely franchised store base and vertically integrated supply chain. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update May 01

Q1 - 2026

Updated with most recent quarterly report.
Narrative Update Apr 23

DPZ: Franchise Cash Returns Will Support Share Gains In A Challenged Category

Narrative Update: Domino's Pizza The analyst price target for Domino's Pizza has been revised slightly lower to reflect a modestly reduced fair value estimate of about $464 from roughly $476. Analysts cite tempered revenue growth assumptions, a marginally higher discount rate, and updated sector multiples following a series of recent target cuts across the Street.
New Narrative Apr 16

Carryout Mix Shifts And Tech Costs Will Shape Future Performance But Long-Term Targets Remain Intact

Catalysts About Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza operates a global quick service pizza chain focused on delivery and carryout through a predominantly franchised store base. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update Apr 09

DPZ: Franchise Cash Returns Will Offset Category Pressures Into 2026

The analyst price target for Domino's Pizza has been trimmed by a few dollars to reflect slightly lower fair value and revenue growth assumptions, as well as a modestly higher discount rate, with recent research pointing to a challenged U.S. pizza category and mixed post earnings takes on long term same store sales guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Domino's Pizza reflects a mixed setup, with several firms trimming price targets following Q4 results and updated guidance, while others highlight ongoing execution strengths and a franchise model they view as resilient.
Narrative Update Mar 25

DPZ: Franchise Model And Cash Returns Will Underpin Earnings Resilience Into 2026

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Domino's Pizza has shifted slightly lower by a few dollars, reflecting updated views on tax rate assumptions, earnings forecasts, and a mix of lowered and raised targets across firms following the latest Q4 results and 2026 outlooks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Domino's Pizza reflects a mix of optimism on the business model and caution around 2026 guidance and sector headwinds.
Narrative Update Mar 10

DPZ: Cash Returns And Franchise Model Will Support Earnings Resilience Through 2026

Our updated narrative on Domino's Pizza reflects a small trim in the fair value estimate to $478.58 from $480.90, as analysts adjust price targets across the $370 to $545 range on mixed readthroughs from recent earnings, tax rate changes, and updated long term EPS and valuation assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Domino's Pizza shows a wide range of views on both valuation and execution, with price targets spanning from $370 to $545 and ratings running from Underweight to Overweight.
Narrative Update Feb 24

DPZ: International Expansion And Cash Returns Will Support Earnings Resilience Through 2026

Narrative Update Our updated analyst price framework for Domino's Pizza now points to a slightly lower implied value of about $481 per share. This reflects a modest adjustment to long term revenue growth assumptions and a small increase in the forward P/E multiple as analysts weigh recent target cuts, cautious 2026 same store sales commentary and ongoing sector headwinds against still supportive long term earnings expectations.
Narrative Update Feb 10

DPZ: International Expansion And Execution Improvements Will Support Earnings Resilience Despite 2026 Headwinds

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Domino's Pizza by about US$2 to reflect slightly higher discount rate assumptions, modestly softer revenue growth expectations, and a marginally lower future P/E multiple, even as profit margin estimates remain broadly steady. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Domino's Pizza reflects a mix of optimism about long term growth drivers and caution on near term industry headwinds, which is feeding through to a cluster of price target cuts and a few more supportive views.
Narrative Update Jan 25

DPZ: International Expansion And Execution Improvements Will Support Resilient Earnings Power Into 2026

Analysts have nudged their average price target for Domino's Pizza slightly lower, trimming fair value by about US$3.52 to reflect modestly softer revenue growth assumptions, a slightly lower future P/E and sector wide target cuts, even as margin expectations edge higher. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Domino's Pizza reflects a mix of optimism about the brand's long term potential and caution around nearer term industry pressures.
Narrative Update Jan 10

DPZ: Menu And Delivery Levers Will Support Resilient Performance Into 2026

Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed the price target on Domino's Pizza by about $5, reflecting slightly lower fair value estimates tied to a modestly higher discount rate and slightly softer long term assumptions for revenue growth and profit margin. They continue to highlight both industry headwinds into 2026 and company specific levers around value, menu initiatives and third party partnerships.
Narrative Update Dec 15

DPZ: Same Store Sales Levers Will Support Resilient Performance Into 2026

Analysts have modestly trimmed their blended price target on Domino's Pizza to about $497 per share, weighing evidence of resilient same-store sales growth drivers and menu innovation against choppy near term demand trends and lingering concerns over international expansion and industry wide softness. Analyst Commentary Street research reflects a divided but generally constructive view on Domino's, with bullish analysts emphasizing the durability of same store sales levers and cautious analysts focusing on near term macro and execution risks.
Narrative Update Nov 27

DPZ: Same-Store Sales Momentum And Menu Expansion Will Drive Performance Into 2026

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Domino's Pizza by approximately $2 to around $497. They cited mixed near-term sales trends, while expressing continued confidence in management's strategic initiatives and long-term growth levers.
Narrative Update Nov 11

DPZ: Same-Store Sales Exceed Estimates And New Menu Additions Will Sustain Momentum

Domino's Pizza's fair value estimate was modestly reduced by analysts to $498.26, reflecting cautious optimism due to mixed sector trends and ongoing menu innovation. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Domino's Pizza reflects a balance between optimism for the company's growth initiatives and caution regarding market headwinds, resulting in a modest adjustment of price targets across major firms.
Narrative Update Oct 27

Digital Partnerships And Menu Expansion Will Drive Shareholder Value Through 2026

Domino's Pizza's analyst fair value target has been modestly reduced by about $2 to $500. Analysts cite ongoing sector-wide softness and near-term sales uncertainties, while also expressing continued confidence in the company's long-term sales drivers and innovation efforts.
Analysis Article Oct 18

Domino's Pizza, Inc. (NASDAQ:DPZ) Third-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

It's been a good week for Domino's Pizza, Inc. ( NASDAQ:DPZ ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...
Narrative Update Oct 13

DoorDash Integration And Digital Platforms Will Expand Global Reach

Analysts have lowered their price target for Domino's Pizza, reducing fair value expectations by approximately $7 to $502. They cite cautious views on demand trends and ongoing growth challenges.
Analysis Article Jun 22

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Domino's Pizza, Inc. (NASDAQ:DPZ)

Key Insights The projected fair value for Domino's Pizza is US$487 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Domino's...
Seeking Alpha Mar 30

Domino's Pizza: This Pizza Giant Is Well-Positioned, But Beware Of The Technicals

Summary Domino’s Pizza, Inc. shows strong topline growth and solid liquidity, outperforming competitors despite inflation. High concentration on franchising supports consistent revenue and limits cost sensitivity, but debt management remains a concern with high net debt/EBITDA and upcoming maturities. Despite the seemingly high price, the stock remains reasonable with a slight upside potential relative to its P/E. Technical indicators show high volatility; holding DPZ is recommended until the sustainability of the recent rally is confirmed. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 05

Domino's Pizza: Weaker U.S. Trends Persist As Inflation Stacks On Higher Costs

Summary Shares of Domino’s have jumped ~15% this year, with investors cheering the recent Q4 earnings print despite numerous risks popping up. Domino’s is facing weak same-store sales, particularly in the U.S. where tough macro conditions are reducing delivery orders from lower-income consumers. Globally, the company is already quite saturated with over 21,000 locations. Its plans to add ~1k new stores per year, predominately overseas, may cannibalize existing locations. The company recently boosted its dividend by ~15%, despite the fact that its shareholder returns in FY24 already exceeded its free cash flow. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 24

Domino's Pizza: Tasty Gains, Juicy Dividend Growth

Summary Domino's Pizza, Inc. is a quality long-term hold; the author recommended buying under $400 and now suggests running a house position for future gains and dividend growth. Sales rose 2.9% in Q4 2024, with positive same-store sales and store count growth, despite mixed international performance and U.S. competition. Margins, earnings, and cash flow improved; net income up 7.7%, and free cash flow increased to $512 million in 2024, with ongoing share repurchases. Forecasts for 2025 are provided, and more opportunities for trading DPZ stock are presented. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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New Narrative Feb 17

Product Innovation And Uber Partnerships Will Strengthen Market Position

Domino's strategy and rewards program drive significant U.S. market share and revenue growth through increased customer base and order frequency.
Seeking Alpha Jan 25

Domino's Pizza: Hungry For More Does Not Justify Any Valuation Upside

Summary In 3Q24, DPZ posted a revenue and operating income growth of 5.16% y/y. and 5.29% y/y. The company remains on track to achieve its operating income growth of 8% y/y. Despite a poor consumer outlook for 2025, the F&B industry will continue to provide tailwind support for DPZ. At least 79% of consumers intend to spend more at QSR. DPZ's Hungry for More strategy and new product offerings will continue to drive growth, but market participants have likely priced in the company's full potential. DPZ's valuation model, based on aggressive estimates, implies a share price of $374, significantly lower than the current trading price of $448. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 31

Domino's Pizza: Get It While It's Hot

Summary I am giving Domino's Pizza a buy rating. Domino's has high-quality earnings and a solid annual free cash flow. The stock currently trades at a discount of almost 30% from its intrinsic value of $541.24 per share. The company suffers from substantial long-term indebtedness but is more than capable of meeting its current portions of long-term debt and its interest payments. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 20

Domino's Pizza: Sell Amid Weak Sales Growth And Rush To Build More Stores

Summary I recommend a sell rating for Domino's Pizza due to its overvaluation and decelerating same-store sales growth, particularly internationally. The company's plans to add 1,100+ new stores internationally (925+ overseas) may slow down as international sales growth weakens. The company is heavily leveraged, with a net debt position of $4.79 billion, making its 20x EV/adjusted EBITDA multiple unreasonable. Lower international sales growth through 2025 will likely limit earnings growth, making Domino's a less attractive investment compared to peers. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 19

Domino's Pizza: Fundamentals Remain Strong With Improving Investor Sentiment (Rating Upgrade)

Summary DPZ's stock price has declined 15% since my first article but has maintained strong fundamentals over this time, leading me to upgrade my rating from a sell to a buy. Recent earnings reports show robust growth, with a 6.6% increase in US retail sales and 6.5% internationally. Domino's Pizza maintains high gross margins, strong ROIC, and consistent revenue growth, despite inflation and cost pressures. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway initiated a position in DPZ, boosting investor confidence and signaling potential long-term value. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 11

Domino's Pizza: Strong Financial Health Supports Rapid Dividend Growth

Summary Domino's Pizza offers a compelling long-term investment with solid financials, strong free cash flow, and impressive dividend growth, despite a low starting yield of 1.4%. Lower interest rates and decreasing inflation could boost consumer spending on pizza, further enhancing DPZ's profitability and reducing the debt burden. DPZ's valuation indicates a potential upside of over 10%, supported by Wall Street's price target and a dividend discount calculation. DPZ has managed to maintain a double-digit dividend growth over the last decade. Long-term shareholders could use this to compound the income generation in their portfolio. Global Pizza Demand is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 10.89% through 2032, which can help boost international store growth over the next decade. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Domino's Pizza makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

NasdaqGS:DPZ Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
22 Mar 264,9795924610
28 Dec 254,9406024590
07 Sep 254,8485904550
15 Jun 254,7815974540
23 Mar 254,7346084680
29 Dec 244,7065844590
08 Sep 244,6655724650
16 Jun 244,6135734590
24 Mar 244,5405404400
31 Dec 234,4795194350
10 Sep 234,4695204210
18 Jun 234,5104734150
26 Mar 234,5504664140
01 Jan 234,5374524170
11 Sep 224,4884504260
19 Jun 224,4184704310
27 Mar 224,3854844350
02 Jan 224,3575104280
12 Sep 214,3715074260
20 Jun 214,3404854220
28 Mar 214,2284874090
03 Jan 214,1174914070
06 Sep 203,9114693860
14 Jun 203,7644563780
22 Mar 203,6564303800
29 Dec 193,6194013810
08 Sep 193,5513833840
16 Jun 193,5163813800
24 Mar 193,4833663770
30 Dec 183,4333623720
09 Sep 183,2423443560
17 Jun 183,1003163570
25 Mar 182,9493043510
31 Dec 172,7882783440
10 Sep 172,7162573430
18 Jun 172,6392483350
26 Mar 172,5582323230
01 Jan 172,4732153140
11 Sep 162,3942052980
19 Jun 162,3121952860
27 Mar 162,2541922780
03 Jan 162,2171932780
06 Sep 152,1181782630
14 Jun 152,0801762600

Quality Earnings: DPZ has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: DPZ's current net profit margins (11.9%) are lower than last year (12.8%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: DPZ's earnings have grown by 5.6% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: DPZ's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: DPZ had negative earnings growth (-2.6%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Hospitality industry average (24.3%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: DPZ's liabilities exceed its assets, so it is difficult to calculate its Return on Equity.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/20 04:18
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/20 00:00
Earnings2026/03/22
Annual Earnings2025/12/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Domino's Pizza, Inc. is covered by 54 analysts. 29 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
David TarantinoBaird
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays