Stock Analysis

At US$10.84, Is Aspen Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:ASPU) Worth Looking At Closely?

OTCPK:ASPU
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Aspen Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:ASPU), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NASDAQGM. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s examine Aspen Group’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

See our latest analysis for Aspen Group

What's the opportunity in Aspen Group?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 15% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Aspen Group today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $12.72, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. In addition to this, Aspen Group has a low beta, which suggests its share price is less volatile than the wider market.

What does the future of Aspen Group look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGM:ASPU Earnings and Revenue Growth December 31st 2020

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by 59% over the next year, the near-term future seems bright for Aspen Group. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in ASPU’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on ASPU, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Aspen Group you should be aware of.

If you are no longer interested in Aspen Group, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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