These 4 Measures Indicate That Arco Platform (NASDAQ:ARCE) Is Using Debt Extensively

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Arco Platform Limited (NASDAQ:ARCE) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Advertisement

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Arco Platform

How Much Debt Does Arco Platform Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2022 Arco Platform had R$1.65b of debt, an increase on R$308.7m, over one year. However, it also had R$753.9m in cash, and so its net debt is R$896.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:ARCE Debt to Equity History October 7th 2022

How Strong Is Arco Platform's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Arco Platform had liabilities of R$1.26b due within 12 months, and liabilities of R$2.41b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had R$753.9m in cash and R$646.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total R$2.27b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of R$3.45b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While we wouldn't worry about Arco Platform's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.8, we think its super-low interest cover of 0.76 times is a sign of high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. The good news is that Arco Platform grew its EBIT a smooth 47% over the last twelve months. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Arco Platform's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Arco Platform burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Arco Platform's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Arco Platform stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. Even though Arco Platform lost money on the bottom line, its positive EBIT suggests the business itself has potential. So you might want to check out how earnings have been trending over the last few years.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGS:ARCE

Arco Platform

Arco Platform Limited, a technology company in the education sector, provides a pedagogical system with technology-enabled features to deliver educational content to private schools in Brazil.

High growth potential and slightly overvalued.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

LO
Lou_Basenese
GIFT logo
Lou_Basenese on Giftify ·

Giftify ($GIFT): A Small-Cap Incentives Platform with More ScaleThan Its Valuation Suggests

Fair Value:US$2.562.2% undervalued
37 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
9 users have liked this narrative
HA
HarishPK
LULU logo
HarishPK on lululemon athletica ·

Quantifying the Transition: Why Lululemon’s Moat Remains Intact

Fair Value:US$161.828.9% undervalued
11 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
8 users have liked this narrative
TR
tripledub
GOOGL logo
tripledub on Alphabet ·

Warren Buffett Just Bet $10 Billion on Google. The Catch? You May Already Be Too Late.

Fair Value:US$23059.6% overvalued
41 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
10 users have liked this narrative
JO
John_Eric
VEEV logo
John_Eric on Veeva Systems ·

AI-Powered Veeva Systems Poised for Solid Growth Amid Regulatory Stability

Fair Value:US$32039.9% undervalued
15 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

ST
SIP logo
StoxEurope on Sipef ·

Why I Invest in SIPEF?

Fair Value:€12125.5% undervalued
13 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
GE
KUCINGKO logo
Germaine on Kucingko Berhad ·

Kucingko Berhad: Fundamentals Show Early Recovery as Creative Content Expansion Gains Traction

Fair Value:RM 0.012733.3% overvalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
BL
Blagget
BPAG logo
Blagget on BP Silver ·

“valer un Potosí” GOOGLE IT. Now you’re should be kinda locked in. Educate yourself, Read the rest.

Fair Value:CA$685.7% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

IN
Investingwilly
MA logo
Investingwilly on Mastercard ·

Mastercard: The Best Dividend Stock You're Ignoring

Fair Value:US$75029.1% undervalued
84 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
9 users have liked this narrative
HA
HarishPK
ADBE logo
HarishPK on Adobe ·

Adobe: A Probabilistic Case for Undervaluation

Fair Value:US$319.9630.8% undervalued
64 users have followed this narrative
9 users have commented on this narrative
19 users have liked this narrative
BL
BlackGoat
CBRS logo
BlackGoat on Cerebras Systems ·

The Wafer Giant Threatening NVIDIA's GPU Hegemony

Fair Value:US$415.5457.5% undervalued
59 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
10 users have liked this narrative

Trending Discussion