Stock Analysis

Here's Why American Public Education (NASDAQ:APEI) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

NasdaqGS:APEI
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that American Public Education, Inc. (NASDAQ:APEI) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

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What Is American Public Education's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that American Public Education had US$94.7m in debt in December 2023; about the same as the year before. But it also has US$116.7m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$22.0m net cash.

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NasdaqGS:APEI Debt to Equity History April 28th 2024

How Healthy Is American Public Education's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that American Public Education had liabilities of US$74.0m due within a year, and liabilities of US$191.4m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$116.7m as well as receivables valued at US$51.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$97.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because American Public Education is worth US$250.9m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, American Public Education also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

We note that American Public Education grew its EBIT by 27% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine American Public Education's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While American Public Education has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, American Public Education recorded free cash flow worth 64% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

While American Public Education does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$22.0m. And we liked the look of last year's 27% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't have any problem with American Public Education's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for American Public Education you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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Find out whether American Public Education is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.