Stock Analysis

We're Hopeful That Allied Gaming & Entertainment (NASDAQ:AGAE) Will Use Its Cash Wisely

NasdaqCM:AGAE
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Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.

So, the natural question for Allied Gaming & Entertainment (NASDAQ:AGAE) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

View our latest analysis for Allied Gaming & Entertainment

When Might Allied Gaming & Entertainment Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at September 2023, Allied Gaming & Entertainment had cash of US$70m and no debt. In the last year, its cash burn was US$7.8m. So it had a cash runway of about 9.0 years from September 2023. While this is only one measure of its cash burn situation, it certainly gives us the impression that holders have nothing to worry about. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:AGAE Debt to Equity History January 11th 2024

How Well Is Allied Gaming & Entertainment Growing?

Some investors might find it troubling that Allied Gaming & Entertainment is actually increasing its cash burn, which is up 9.3% in the last year. Also concerning, operating revenue was actually down by 4.0% in that time. In light of the data above, we're fairly sanguine about the business growth trajectory. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. You can take a look at how Allied Gaming & Entertainment has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.

How Easily Can Allied Gaming & Entertainment Raise Cash?

While Allied Gaming & Entertainment seems to be in a fairly good position, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Since it has a market capitalisation of US$38m, Allied Gaming & Entertainment's US$7.8m in cash burn equates to about 21% of its market value. That's not insignificant, and if the company had to sell enough shares to fund another year's growth at the current share price, you'd likely witness fairly costly dilution.

So, Should We Worry About Allied Gaming & Entertainment's Cash Burn?

On this analysis of Allied Gaming & Entertainment's cash burn, we think its cash runway was reassuring, while its increasing cash burn has us a bit worried. While we're the kind of investors who are always a bit concerned about the risks involved with cash burning companies, the metrics we have discussed in this article leave us relatively comfortable about Allied Gaming & Entertainment's situation. Taking an in-depth view of risks, we've identified 2 warning signs for Allied Gaming & Entertainment that you should be aware of before investing.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.