Woolworths Group Limited

OTCPK:WOLW.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$23.7b

Woolworths Group Valuation

Is WOLW.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WOLW.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WOLW.F ($18.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($19.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WOLW.F is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WOLW.F?

Key metric: As WOLW.F is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for WOLW.F. This is calculated by dividing WOLW.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is WOLW.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
SalesAU$67.92b
Market CapAU$36.50b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does WOLW.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for WOLW.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
SFM Sprouts Farmers Market
2x9.6%US$14.7b
CASY Casey's General Stores
1x4.2%US$15.9b
KR Kroger
0.3x1.5%US$42.8b
ACI Albertsons Companies
0.1x1.8%US$11.2b
WOLW.F Woolworths Group
0.5x3.3%US$36.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: WOLW.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does WOLW.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Retailing Industry?

11 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance
0.05x1.5%US$7.49b
UNFI United Natural Foods
0.05x0.1%US$1.41b
SPTN SpartanNash
0.07x1.4%US$633.24m
YI 111
0.03x10.2%US$52.38m
WOLW.F 0.5xIndustry Avg. 0.4xNo. of Companies11PS00.40.81.21.62+
11 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: WOLW.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the US Consumer Retailing industry average (0.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WOLW.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WOLW.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate WOLW.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WOLW.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$18.90
US$21.39
+13.2%
7.3%US$24.36US$18.61n/a15
Nov ’25US$21.54
US$21.59
+0.2%
7.5%US$24.53US$18.74n/a14
Oct ’25US$21.85
US$24.50
+12.1%
7.9%US$27.44US$18.82n/a15
Sep ’25US$22.50
US$24.53
+9.0%
7.7%US$27.26US$18.69n/a15
Aug ’25US$23.41
US$22.92
-2.1%
9.4%US$26.15US$17.89n/a15
Jul ’25US$22.75
US$22.87
+0.5%
10.1%US$26.72US$18.28n/a15
Jun ’25US$20.58
US$22.45
+9.1%
10.1%US$26.38US$18.18n/a15
May ’25US$20.33
US$22.96
+13.0%
9.2%US$26.40US$17.97n/a15
Apr ’25US$22.06
US$23.35
+5.9%
9.0%US$26.61US$18.11n/a15
Mar ’25US$20.87
US$23.55
+12.8%
9.0%US$26.48US$18.03n/a14
Feb ’25US$23.24
US$25.30
+8.8%
9.9%US$28.36US$18.18n/a14
Jan ’25US$24.39
US$25.04
+2.7%
10.3%US$28.19US$18.20n/a15
Dec ’24US$23.31
US$23.82
+2.2%
10.6%US$26.88US$17.35n/a15
Nov ’24US$22.05
US$23.82
+8.0%
10.6%US$26.88US$17.35US$21.5415
Oct ’24n/a
US$24.95
0%
11.3%US$27.74US$17.70US$21.8515
Sep ’24n/a
US$25.05
0%
11.1%US$27.89US$17.80US$22.5016
Aug ’24n/a
US$25.83
0%
12.1%US$28.82US$18.10US$23.4116
Jul ’24n/a
US$25.73
0%
12.6%US$28.71US$18.03US$22.7516
Jun ’24n/a
US$25.72
0%
12.0%US$28.67US$18.00US$20.5815
May ’24US$26.00
US$25.33
-2.6%
11.7%US$28.51US$17.90US$20.3315
Apr ’24US$25.26
US$25.37
+0.4%
12.2%US$28.93US$18.16US$22.0616
Mar ’24US$24.96
US$25.37
+1.6%
12.2%US$28.93US$18.16US$20.8716
Feb ’24US$25.41
US$25.00
-1.6%
11.4%US$29.43US$18.71US$23.2416
Jan ’24US$22.45
US$23.56
+4.9%
11.7%US$27.95US$17.76US$24.3916
Dec ’23US$23.44
US$22.68
-3.2%
11.9%US$27.02US$17.17US$23.3116
Nov ’23US$20.93
US$23.45
+12.1%
11.9%US$27.01US$16.73US$22.0515

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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