Woolworths Group Limited

OTCPK:WOLW.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$24.7b

Woolworths Group Valuation

Is WOLW.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WOLW.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$45.50
Fair Value
55.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: WOLW.F ($20.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($45.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WOLW.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WOLW.F?

Key metric: As WOLW.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WOLW.F. This is calculated by dividing WOLW.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WOLW.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.7x
EarningsAU$1.63b
Market CapAU$38.55b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WOLW.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WOLW.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.9x
CASY Casey's General Stores
32.1x9.4%US$17.2b
SFM Sprouts Farmers Market
44.1x12.1%US$16.9b
KR Kroger
18x4.7%US$47.2b
ACI Albertsons Companies
13.2x2.0%US$12.6b
WOLW.F Woolworths Group
23.7x8.4%US$38.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WOLW.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.7x) compared to the peer average (26.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WOLW.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Retailing Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BLMH Blum Holdings
0.8xn/aUS$11.85m
No more companies available in this PE range
WOLW.F 23.7xIndustry Avg. 23.3xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WOLW.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.7x) compared to the US Consumer Retailing industry average (23.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WOLW.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WOLW.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate WOLW.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WOLW.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$20.61
0%
7.2%US$23.70US$18.58n/a16
Apr ’26US$18.53
US$20.19
+8.9%
7.7%US$23.37US$18.00n/a16
Mar ’26US$19.68
US$19.97
+1.5%
8.0%US$22.96US$17.69n/a15
Feb ’26US$20.21
US$20.06
-0.7%
6.9%US$22.82US$17.72n/a15
Jan ’26US$17.30
US$20.99
+21.3%
7.0%US$23.62US$18.35n/a15
Dec ’25US$18.90
US$21.41
+13.3%
7.3%US$24.38US$18.63n/a15
Nov ’25US$21.54
US$21.59
+0.2%
7.5%US$24.53US$18.74n/a14
Oct ’25US$21.85
US$24.50
+12.1%
7.9%US$27.44US$18.82n/a15
Sep ’25US$22.50
US$24.53
+9.0%
7.7%US$27.26US$18.69n/a15
Aug ’25US$23.41
US$22.92
-2.1%
9.4%US$26.15US$17.89n/a15
Jul ’25US$22.75
US$22.87
+0.5%
10.1%US$26.72US$18.28n/a15
Jun ’25US$20.58
US$22.45
+9.1%
10.1%US$26.38US$18.18n/a15
May ’25US$20.33
US$22.96
+13.0%
9.2%US$26.40US$17.97n/a15
Apr ’25US$22.06
US$23.35
+5.9%
9.0%US$26.61US$18.11US$18.5315
Mar ’25US$20.87
US$23.55
+12.8%
9.0%US$26.48US$18.03US$19.6814
Feb ’25US$23.24
US$25.30
+8.8%
9.9%US$28.36US$18.18US$20.2114
Jan ’25US$24.39
US$25.04
+2.7%
10.3%US$28.19US$18.20US$17.3015
Dec ’24US$23.31
US$23.82
+2.2%
10.6%US$26.88US$17.35US$18.9015
Nov ’24US$22.05
US$23.82
+8.0%
10.6%US$26.88US$17.35US$21.5415
Oct ’24n/a
US$24.95
0%
11.3%US$27.74US$17.70US$21.8515
Sep ’24n/a
US$25.05
0%
11.1%US$27.89US$17.80US$22.5016
Aug ’24n/a
US$25.83
0%
12.1%US$28.82US$18.10US$23.4116
Jul ’24n/a
US$25.73
0%
12.6%US$28.71US$18.03US$22.7516
Jun ’24n/a
US$25.72
0%
12.0%US$28.67US$18.00US$20.5815
May ’24US$26.00
US$25.33
-2.6%
11.7%US$28.51US$17.90US$20.3315
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
US$20.58
Fair Value
1.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/30 21:20
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/21 00:00
Earnings2025/01/05
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Woolworths Group Limited is covered by 32 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Anthony VogelAPP Securities Pty Ltd.
Thomas KierathBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Jonathan SnapeBell Potter