Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V.

OTCPK:WMMV.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$45.0b

Wal-Mart de México. de Valuation

Is WMMV.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WMMV.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$4.67
Fair Value
44.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
18
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: WMMV.F ($2.59) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($4.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WMMV.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WMMV.F?

Key metric: As WMMV.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WMMV.F. This is calculated by dividing WMMV.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WMMV.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.4x
EarningsMex$53.62b
Market CapMex$934.77b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WMMV.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WMMV.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.8x
TGT Target
14x4.3%US$61.2b
DG Dollar General
11.3x6.7%US$15.2b
BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings
22.5x7.1%US$12.6b
COST Costco Wholesale
55.3x8.3%US$408.3b
WMMV.F Wal-Mart de México. de
17.4x9.5%US$955.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WMMV.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the peer average (25.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WMMV.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
WMMV.F 17.4xIndustry Avg. 27.0xNo. of Companies5PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WMMV.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the US Consumer Retailing industry average (26.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WMMV.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WMMV.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.4x
Fair PE Ratio24.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WMMV.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WMMV.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.59
US$3.64
+40.5%
7.2%US$4.12US$3.13n/a18
Jan ’26US$2.60
US$3.64
+40.1%
7.2%US$4.12US$3.13n/a18
Dec ’25US$2.66
US$3.54
+33.1%
8.3%US$4.03US$2.81n/a18
Nov ’25US$2.80
US$3.72
+32.8%
8.1%US$4.21US$2.88n/a18
Oct ’25US$2.99
US$3.82
+27.8%
7.8%US$4.25US$2.90n/a18
Sep ’25US$3.18
US$4.05
+27.4%
7.7%US$4.48US$3.06n/a18
Aug ’25US$3.36
US$4.13
+22.8%
7.6%US$4.56US$3.11n/a18
Jul ’25US$3.41
US$4.40
+29.0%
7.6%US$4.85US$3.31n/a17
Jun ’25US$3.67
US$4.58
+24.8%
7.7%US$5.03US$3.43n/a17
May ’25US$3.75
US$4.49
+19.8%
7.9%US$4.94US$3.37n/a16
Apr ’25US$3.95
US$4.67
+18.3%
8.5%US$5.21US$3.47n/a17
Mar ’25US$3.94
US$4.62
+17.3%
8.7%US$5.10US$3.40n/a17
Feb ’25US$4.23
US$4.53
+7.2%
9.5%US$4.98US$3.32n/a16
Jan ’25US$4.19
US$4.53
+8.1%
9.5%US$4.98US$3.32US$2.6016
Dec ’24US$3.99
US$4.60
+15.3%
9.8%US$5.06US$3.37US$2.6615
Nov ’24US$3.58
US$4.40
+22.7%
10.0%US$4.99US$3.21US$2.8015
Oct ’24US$3.75
US$4.74
+26.4%
7.8%US$5.35US$4.10US$2.9914
Sep ’24US$3.93
US$4.91
+25.1%
7.0%US$5.53US$4.23US$3.1815
Aug ’24US$4.17
US$4.89
+17.2%
6.0%US$5.32US$4.25US$3.3615
Jul ’24US$3.98
US$4.79
+20.6%
6.7%US$5.34US$4.22US$3.4116
Jun ’24US$3.77
US$4.57
+21.1%
6.9%US$5.11US$4.04US$3.6717
May ’24US$3.96
US$4.54
+14.6%
7.7%US$5.15US$3.99US$3.7517
Apr ’24US$4.00
US$4.43
+10.7%
7.5%US$5.03US$3.89US$3.9518
Mar ’24US$3.92
US$4.45
+13.4%
7.6%US$5.06US$3.87US$3.9417
Feb ’24US$4.01
US$4.17
+3.9%
7.3%US$4.67US$3.60US$4.2317
Jan ’24US$3.47
US$4.17
+19.9%
7.3%US$4.67US$3.60US$4.1917
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 18 Analysts
US$3.55
Fair Value
27.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
18
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/19 03:09
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. is covered by 32 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Antonio Hernandez Velez LeijaActinver Case de Bolsa, S.A. de C.V.
Matthew McClintockBarclays
Benjamin TheurerBarclays