Tesco PLC

OTCPK:TSCD.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$38.6b

Tesco Valuation

Is TSCD.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TSCD.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

US$8.73
Fair Value
28.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: TSCD.F ($6.22) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($8.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TSCD.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TSCD.F?

Key metric: As TSCD.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TSCD.F. This is calculated by dividing TSCD.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TSCD.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.1x
EarningsUK£1.53b
Market CapUK£29.24b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TSCD.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TSCD.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.1x
KR Kroger
16.4x5.70%US$44.4b
CASY Casey's General Stores
36.2x9.50%US$21.1b
ACI Albertsons Companies
10x1.16%US$9.9b
CART Maplebear
21.6x9.71%US$10.9b
TSCD.F Tesco
19.1x9.48%US$29.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TSCD.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the peer average (21.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TSCD.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Retailing Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BLMH Blum Holdings
1.6xn/aUS$15.27m
No more companies available in this PE range
TSCD.F 19.1xIndustry Avg. 20.0xNo. of Companies4PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TSCD.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the US Consumer Retailing industry average (20.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TSCD.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TSCD.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.1x
Fair PE Ratio21.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TSCD.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TSCD.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$6.22
US$6.19
-0.51%
6.22%US$6.71US$5.55n/a12
Nov ’26US$6.08
US$6.27
+3.20%
6.22%US$6.80US$5.63n/a12
Oct ’26US$6.11
US$6.04
-1.12%
6.76%US$6.44US$5.09n/a12
Sep ’26US$5.69
US$5.82
+2.21%
10.67%US$6.44US$4.28n/a12
Aug ’26US$5.74
US$5.56
-3.09%
9.85%US$6.28US$4.22n/a13
Jul ’26US$5.61
US$5.48
-2.24%
8.71%US$5.93US$4.26n/a13
Jun ’26US$5.28
US$5.24
-0.75%
8.61%US$5.93US$4.26n/a14
May ’26US$4.84
US$5.11
+5.67%
8.45%US$5.91US$4.25n/a14
Apr ’26US$4.35
US$5.14
+18.05%
8.32%US$5.69US$4.08n/a14
Mar ’26US$4.75
US$5.07
+6.69%
7.70%US$5.48US$3.93n/a14
Feb ’26US$4.56
US$5.02
+10.17%
7.71%US$5.37US$3.93n/a14
Jan ’26US$4.52
US$5.06
+11.83%
7.88%US$5.60US$3.97n/a14
Dec ’25US$4.63
US$5.09
+10.03%
7.84%US$5.65US$4.01US$6.2114
Nov ’25US$4.48
US$5.12
+14.38%
12.11%US$5.80US$3.52US$6.0813
Oct ’25US$4.75
US$4.97
+4.60%
11.68%US$5.70US$3.62US$6.1113
Sep ’25US$4.61
US$4.56
-1.07%
11.40%US$5.27US$3.16US$5.6913
Aug ’25US$4.21
US$4.35
+3.24%
9.36%US$4.77US$3.10US$5.7413
Jul ’25US$3.88
US$4.27
+10.03%
9.47%US$4.71US$3.05US$5.6113
Jun ’25US$3.80
US$4.27
+12.31%
9.47%US$4.70US$3.05US$5.2813
May ’25US$3.67
US$4.13
+12.82%
11.36%US$4.63US$2.75US$4.8412
Apr ’25US$3.79
US$4.14
+9.30%
11.62%US$4.66US$2.77US$4.3512
Mar ’25US$3.54
US$4.14
+17.02%
11.62%US$4.66US$2.77US$4.7512
Feb ’25US$3.56
US$4.12
+15.84%
11.25%US$4.70US$2.79US$4.5612
Jan ’25US$3.61
US$4.09
+13.39%
10.37%US$4.59US$2.93US$4.5212
Dec ’24US$3.40
US$4.01
+17.82%
9.73%US$4.42US$2.90US$4.6312
US$6.4
Fair Value
2.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/12/03 03:54
End of Day Share Price 2025/12/02 00:00
Earnings2025/08/23
Annual Earnings2025/02/22

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Tesco PLC is covered by 29 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Timothy AttenboroughBanco Santander
James AnsteadBarclays
Matthew ClementsBarclays