Ocado Group plc

OTCPK:OCDG.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.0b

Ocado Group Valuation

Is OCDG.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OCDG.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

US$5.52
Fair Value
56.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: OCDG.F ($2.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($5.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OCDG.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OCDG.F?

Key metric: As OCDG.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for OCDG.F. This is calculated by dividing OCDG.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is OCDG.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.2x
SalesUK£1.29b
Market CapUK£1.55b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does OCDG.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for OCDG.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.4x
TBBB BBB Foods
0.9x21.94%US$3.5b
WMK Weis Markets
0.3xn/aUS$1.6b
IMKT.A Ingles Markets
0.3xn/aUS$1.4b
GO Grocery Outlet Holding
0.2x5.72%US$1.0b
OCDG.F Ocado Group
1.2x8.24%US$1.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: OCDG.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the peer average (0.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does OCDG.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Retailing Industry?

14 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance
0.07x1.22%US$10.32b
UNFI United Natural Foods
0.07x1.81%US$2.15b
SPTN SpartanNash
0.09x1.23%US$910.78m
HFFG HF Foods Group
0.1x2.79%US$118.29m
OCDG.F 1.2xIndustry Avg. 0.4xNo. of Companies14PS00.40.81.21.62+
14 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: OCDG.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the US Consumer Retailing industry average (0.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OCDG.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OCDG.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.2x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate OCDG.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OCDG.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.40
US$3.66
+52.67%
26.61%US$4.83US$1.96n/a13
Nov ’26US$2.82
US$3.94
+39.61%
22.23%US$4.86US$2.23n/a13
Oct ’26US$2.97
US$4.14
+39.41%
21.51%US$5.37US$2.28n/a13
Sep ’26US$4.79
US$4.37
-8.81%
21.09%US$5.90US$2.83n/a13
Aug ’26US$4.03
US$4.07
+1.08%
21.49%US$5.80US$2.78n/a13
Jul ’26US$3.09
US$3.87
+25.30%
24.20%US$5.48US$2.47n/a13
Jun ’26US$3.45
US$3.88
+12.56%
21.75%US$5.39US$2.76n/a13
May ’26US$3.46
US$4.60
+32.93%
51.46%US$12.33US$2.81n/a13
Apr ’26US$3.56
US$4.44
+24.78%
51.46%US$11.91US$2.72n/a13
Mar ’26US$3.27
US$5.52
+68.93%
47.95%US$11.57US$2.89n/a13
Feb ’26US$3.70
US$5.54
+49.64%
47.24%US$11.44US$2.86n/a13
Jan ’26US$3.64
US$5.89
+61.84%
42.95%US$11.67US$2.98n/a13
Dec ’25US$4.01
US$6.07
+51.36%
42.07%US$11.94US$3.05n/a13
Nov ’25US$4.68
US$6.07
+29.69%
42.07%US$11.94US$3.05US$2.8213
Oct ’25US$5.21
US$6.03
+15.81%
44.12%US$12.30US$3.08US$2.9714
Sep ’25n/a
US$8.21
0%
105.27%US$37.95US$3.01US$4.7914
Aug ’25US$5.08
US$8.42
+65.81%
103.01%US$37.21US$3.02US$4.0313
Jul ’25US$3.55
US$8.55
+140.76%
97.65%US$36.65US$2.72US$3.0914
Jun ’25US$4.68
US$9.17
+96.24%
87.06%US$36.96US$2.93US$3.4515
May ’25US$4.52
US$9.24
+104.71%
83.46%US$36.15US$2.87US$3.4615
Apr ’25US$5.79
US$9.92
+71.26%
79.37%US$36.65US$2.91US$3.5615
Mar ’25US$6.08
US$10.23
+68.27%
75.20%US$36.70US$4.75US$3.2715
Feb ’25US$6.99
US$10.70
+53.05%
73.70%US$36.97US$4.97US$3.7015
Jan ’25US$9.42
US$11.22
+19.14%
73.50%US$37.04US$4.98US$3.6415
Dec ’24US$7.20
US$10.94
+52.11%
74.26%US$36.14US$4.86US$4.0115
Nov ’24US$6.00
US$10.97
+82.77%
71.89%US$35.21US$4.73US$4.6815
US$3.59
Fair Value
33.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/11/21 19:10
End of Day Share Price 2025/11/18 00:00
Earnings2025/06/01
Annual Earnings2024/12/01

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ocado Group plc is covered by 34 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Alex PoundArete Research Services LLP
Sarah RobertsBarclays
James AnsteadBarclays