Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.

OTCPK:ANCT.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$50.8b

Alimentation Couche-Tard Valuation

Is ANCT.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of ANCT.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: ANCT.F ($56.46) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($80.04)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: ANCT.F is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ANCT.F?

Key metric: As ANCT.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ANCT.F. This is calculated by dividing ANCT.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ANCT.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20x
EarningsUS$2.60b
Market CapUS$50.82b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ANCT.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ANCT.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.7x
KR Kroger
50.8x29.70%US$40.5b
CASY Casey's General Stores
37.8x9.34%US$23.2b
ACI Albertsons Companies
10.1x6.75%US$8.7b
CART Maplebear
20x9.80%US$10.2b
ANCT.F Alimentation Couche-Tard
20x5.55%US$70.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ANCT.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x) compared to the peer average (37.4x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ANCT.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Retailing Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BLMH Blum Holdings
2.1xn/aUS$16.45m
No more companies available in this PE range
ANCT.F 20.0xIndustry Avg. 21.8xNo. of Companies6PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ANCT.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x) compared to the US Consumer Retailing industry average (21.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ANCT.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ANCT.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20x
Fair PE Ratio23.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ANCT.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ANCT.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$56.46
US$61.43
+8.80%
3.83%US$65.94US$56.70n/a16
Jan ’27US$54.64
US$61.35
+12.29%
3.76%US$64.49US$56.22n/a15
Dec ’26US$53.94
US$61.18
+13.43%
3.68%US$64.49US$56.22n/a15
Nov ’26US$50.69
US$60.75
+19.85%
4.18%US$65.03US$56.36n/a15
Oct ’26US$53.52
US$60.87
+13.74%
4.26%US$66.00US$56.36n/a16
Sep ’26US$50.76
US$59.95
+18.10%
5.27%US$68.10US$54.15n/a15
Aug ’26US$50.85
US$60.16
+18.30%
5.03%US$68.12US$55.28n/a15
Jul ’26US$50.25
US$60.38
+20.16%
4.93%US$68.91US$55.65n/a16
Jun ’26US$51.89
US$60.01
+15.65%
4.35%US$67.28US$55.81n/a16
May ’26US$50.40
US$60.22
+19.49%
4.88%US$67.92US$55.81n/a16
Apr ’26US$49.93
US$59.83
+19.83%
4.38%US$65.61US$55.81n/a16
Mar ’26US$49.65
US$61.84
+24.55%
4.86%US$68.21US$57.03n/a16
Feb ’26US$52.90
US$63.09
+19.26%
4.24%US$68.21US$57.03n/a16
Jan ’26US$55.58
US$63.35
+13.98%
4.36%US$68.21US$57.03US$54.6416
Dec ’25US$58.82
US$63.62
+8.16%
5.02%US$70.94US$57.03US$53.9415
Nov ’25US$52.22
US$64.47
+23.45%
4.63%US$70.94US$59.03US$50.6915
Oct ’25US$55.02
US$65.00
+18.16%
4.50%US$70.94US$59.03US$53.5215
Sep ’25US$56.96
US$64.97
+14.07%
4.88%US$70.94US$59.24US$50.7614
Aug ’25US$59.79
US$63.54
+6.29%
3.87%US$69.33US$58.41US$50.8516
Jul ’25US$56.11
US$62.64
+11.64%
7.33%US$67.91US$46.81US$50.2516
Jun ’25US$57.28
US$62.80
+9.63%
7.61%US$67.97US$46.81US$51.8915
May ’25US$55.05
US$62.96
+14.37%
7.43%US$68.67US$46.81US$50.4016
Apr ’25US$55.72
US$63.14
+13.32%
7.52%US$69.47US$46.81US$49.9316
Mar ’25US$61.77
US$62.73
+1.55%
7.76%US$69.61US$46.81US$49.6516
Feb ’25US$59.52
US$62.70
+5.35%
7.69%US$69.06US$46.81US$52.9016
Jan ’25US$58.75
US$62.24
+5.95%
7.46%US$69.06US$46.81US$55.5816
US$61.66
Fair Value
8.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/22 18:19
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/22 00:00
Earnings2025/10/12
Annual Earnings2025/04/27

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. is covered by 25 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jim MarroneAccountability Research Corporation
null nullArgus Research Company
James DurranBarclays