- United States
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- Food and Staples Retail
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- NYSE:USFD
Is It Time To Consider Buying US Foods Holding Corp. (NYSE:USFD)?
US Foods Holding Corp. (NYSE:USFD), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NYSE, rising to highs of US$33.28 and falling to the lows of US$26.88. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether US Foods Holding's current trading price of US$26.88 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at US Foods Holding’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
See our latest analysis for US Foods Holding
What Is US Foods Holding Worth?
US Foods Holding appears to be expensive according to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 37.96x is currently well-above the industry average of 16.85x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since US Foods Holding’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
Can we expect growth from US Foods Holding?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. US Foods Holding's earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in USFD’s positive outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe USFD should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on USFD for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for USFD, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of US Foods Holding.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:USFD
US Foods Holding
Engages in marketing, sale, and distribution of fresh, frozen, and dry food and non-food products to foodservice customers in the United States.
Proven track record with adequate balance sheet.