Stock Analysis

Does Chefs’ Warehouse’s Q3 Beat and Raised 2025 Outlook Reinforce the Growth Story for CHEF?

  • The Chefs’ Warehouse, Inc. recently reported better-than-expected third quarter results, with net sales for the quarter rising to US$1.02 billion and earnings per share exceeding analyst expectations, and the company raised its full-year 2025 revenue and profit guidance to reflect ongoing demand trends.
  • A distinguishing highlight is the company's expanded presence in the specialty food distribution market after acquiring Italco Food Products, which contributed to revenue growth despite some pressures in commodity categories.
  • We'll explore how Chefs’ Warehouse’s improved margin outlook and guidance increase reshape the company’s investment narrative and future prospects.

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Chefs' Warehouse Investment Narrative Recap

To be a Chefs’ Warehouse shareholder today, an investor needs to believe the company can drive continued growth by deepening its specialty focus and executing on margin improvements, even as cost pressures and integration risks linger. The recent earnings and raised guidance reinforce the company’s ability to outpace expectations, but the most important short-term catalyst remains successful integration and performance of acquired businesses versus ongoing wage and cost headwinds, a balance this quarter's results don't materially disrupt.

Among the latest developments, the company’s decision to raise its full-year 2025 sales and earnings guidance following its strong third quarter directly ties to investor expectations for continued revenue and margin momentum. This announcement is especially relevant as it speaks to near-term confidence in profitability, a key underpinning of current market optimism around the stock.

By contrast, it's worth highlighting for investors that integration risks after major acquisitions remain front and center, especially if operational disruptions...

Read the full narrative on Chefs' Warehouse (it's free!)

Chefs' Warehouse's narrative projects $4.9 billion revenue and $121.9 million earnings by 2028. This requires 7.6% yearly revenue growth and a $52.3 million earnings increase from $69.6 million currently.

Uncover how Chefs' Warehouse's forecasts yield a $76.62 fair value, a 30% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

CHEF Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
CHEF Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Five members of the Simply Wall St Community valued Chefs’ Warehouse between US$38.55 and US$89.11 per share, revealing wide differences in outlook. With recently raised earnings guidance, your views on ongoing margin and integration execution could shift the debate even further, see how your opinion compares with others.

Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Chefs' Warehouse - why the stock might be worth 35% less than the current price!

Build Your Own Chefs' Warehouse Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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