Stock Analysis

We Think Casey's General Stores (NASDAQ:CASY) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

NasdaqGS:CASY
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Casey's General Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ:CASY) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Casey's General Stores

What Is Casey's General Stores's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Casey's General Stores had debt of US$1.59b at the end of January 2023, a reduction from US$1.79b over a year. On the flip side, it has US$413.2m in cash leading to net debt of about US$1.18b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:CASY Debt to Equity History May 14th 2023

How Healthy Is Casey's General Stores' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Casey's General Stores had liabilities of US$869.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$2.36b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$413.2m as well as receivables valued at US$133.4m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$2.69b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Casey's General Stores has a market capitalization of US$8.80b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Casey's General Stores's net debt is only 1.2 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 11.8 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Casey's General Stores has boosted its EBIT by 34%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Casey's General Stores's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Casey's General Stores recorded free cash flow worth 74% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Happily, Casey's General Stores's impressive EBIT growth rate implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its interest cover also supports that impression! Zooming out, Casey's General Stores seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Casey's General Stores (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.