Casey's General Stores, Inc.

NasdaqGS:CASY Stock Report

Market Cap: US$21.7b

Casey's General Stores Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Casey's General Stores is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 7.2% and 5.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 7.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 17.4% in 3 years.

Key information

7.2%

Earnings growth rate

7.83%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Retailing earnings growth9.3%
Revenue growth rate5.5%
Future return on equity17.42%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated16 Sep 2026

Recent future growth updates

Analysis Article • Sep 11

Casey's General Stores, Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

Casey's General Stores, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CASY ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish...

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • 16h

Casey's General Stores: A $100+ Post-Earnings Sell-Off - Why I'm Not Buying Yet

Summary Casey's General Stores delivered a double-beat quarter, but shares plunged over $100 post-earnings due to valuation and growth concerns. Despite strong fundamentals, including 28% EPS growth and margin expansion, slowing same-store sales and declining free cash flow raised investor caution. CASY's forward P/E has compressed to ~30x, yet remains above its 5-year average and peers, limiting near-term upside amid macro risks. I reiterate a Hold rating, preferring a more attractive entry closer to 25x earnings as macro headwinds may pressure sales and margins. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article • Sep 11

Casey's General Stores, Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

Casey's General Stores, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CASY ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish...
Narrative Update • Sep 09

CASY: Future Premium P/E Will Rely On Fuel Margins Holding Steady

Analysts have reduced their average price targets for Casey's General Stores by roughly $75 to $100 across recent reports. This reflects a lower modeled fair value of about $751.50, even as many still highlight solid underlying fundamentals, a pullback attributed to post-earnings selling, and expectations for tighter fuel margins.
Narrative Update • Jul 16

CASY: Inside-Store Mix And Store Expansion Will Support Premium Earnings Multiple

The analyst price target for Casey's General Stores has been raised from $1,000 to $1,069. This change reflects analysts' focus on stronger modeled revenue growth, a slightly lower discount rate, higher future P/E assumptions, and recent Street upgrades that emphasize consistent execution, EBITDA growth targets, and a perceived widening competitive moat.
Narrative Update • Jul 02

CASY: Premium P E Will Depend On Inside Margins And Store Expansion

Casey's General Stores' analyst price target has been revised higher from $605 to $826.73 as analysts highlight support from updated fair value assumptions, a slightly lower discount rate, modestly adjusted revenue growth expectations, improved profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple in line with recent research commentary on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Casey's General Stores has been broadly constructive, with many firms lifting price targets following what they describe as strong execution in core operations, fuel margins, and inside-store performance.
Narrative Update • Jun 18

CASY: Fuel Margins And Inside Execution Will Support Premium Stock Multiple

Analysts have lifted the Casey's General Stores fair value estimate from $753 to $945, reflecting higher price targets that cite strong Q4 execution, resilient fuel margins, and steady inside-store sales trends as key supports. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Casey's General Stores clusters around strong execution in Q4, fuel profitability, and steady inside-store performance, with a wide range of price targets reflecting different views on how sustainable these trends may be and how much investors should pay for them.
Narrative Update • Jun 03

CASY: Inside-Store Mix And S&P 500 Inclusion Will Support Premium Earnings Multiple

Casey's General Stores' analyst price target framework is updated from $808 to $1,000, reflecting analysts' higher fair value and P/E assumptions, which are supported by a series of recent target raises tied to consistent execution, perceived defensiveness, and favorable views on inside-store mix and margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of higher price targets for Casey's General Stores, with several analysts citing solid execution, resilient inside-store trends, and disciplined cost control as key supports for their valuation work.
Narrative Update • May 16

CASY: Premium P E Will Rely On Sustained Inside Store Margins

Casey's General Stores' analyst fair value estimate has been revised to $605 from $530, with analysts pointing to recent price target increases across the Street. These highlight solid Q3 execution, inside-store sales and margin performance, and disciplined cost management as key supports for their updated assumptions on growth, profitability, and future P/E.
Narrative Update • Apr 30

CASY: Inside Store Execution And Index Moves Will Support Premium P E Multiple

Analysts lifted the fair value estimate for Casey's General Stores to $753 per share from $739.63, citing a series of higher Street price targets and updated assumptions around slightly higher revenue growth and a modestly richer future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Casey's General Stores has been active, with a series of higher price targets and one new initiation that collectively frame how analysts view the trade off between quality, growth, and valuation.
Narrative Update • Apr 14

CASY: Inside Store Execution And S&P 500 Inclusion Will Support Premium Multiple

Analysts have made a modest adjustment to the Casey's General Stores fair value estimate to $739.63, reflecting updated views on discount rates, slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, and steady profitability following a series of higher Street price targets anchored in recent Q3 results and inside store performance. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Casey's General Stores has centered on the latest fiscal Q3 report, with several firms adjusting price targets and revisiting their views on execution, mix, and store level performance.
Narrative Update • Mar 31

CASY: Higher Margin Inside-Store Mix Will Support Premium EBITDA Profile

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Casey's General Stores to $808 from $750, citing stronger modeled revenue growth, a slightly lower discount rate, and Street research that points to solid Q3 execution, resilient inside-store trends, and support from higher price targets across several covering firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Casey's General Stores has been active, with several firms revisiting their assumptions following the latest fiscal Q3 report.
Narrative Update • Mar 17

CASY: Q3 Execution And Inside Margins Will Support Premium Multiple Outlook

Analysts have raised the blended price target on Casey's General Stores from about $600 to roughly $740. This reflects updated models that incorporate stronger profit margins, a higher assumed future P/E multiple, and recent research highlighting solid Q3 execution and in-store performance.
Narrative Update • Mar 03

CASY: Foodservice Mix And Store Expansion Will Support Premium EBITDA Profile

The analyst price target for Casey's General Stores in our framework has moved to $750 from $700, reflecting recent Street research that points to a premium P/E, a focus on higher margin foodservice, and analyst views that emphasize the company’s EBITDA track record, despite at least one more cautious rating shift. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Casey's General Stores has leaned constructive, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets and initiating coverage at premium valuation levels.
Narrative Update • Feb 17

CASY: Foodservice Margin Assumptions Will Test Rich Sector Premium

Analysts have lifted their consolidated price target for Casey's General Stores by $71, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth and margins. They continue to support the stock with a series of recent target hikes and positive initiations despite one downgrade.
Narrative Update • Feb 03

CASY: Rich Sector Premium Will Face Foodservice Execution And Margin Risk

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Casey's General Stores has shifted higher from about $470.93 to $530.00, with analysts pointing to support from higher assumed profit margins, a slightly lower future P/E, and recent bullish coverage and target increases, even as revenue growth assumptions and the applied discount rate are adjusted. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Casey's General Stores has been active, with several firms revisiting their views, updating price targets, and restarting coverage.
Narrative Update • Jan 19

CASY: Foodservice Focus And Store Expansion Will Support Premium Rating Potential

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Casey's General Stores has moved to $700 from about $681.58 as analysts factor in higher assumed revenue growth, a slightly higher future P/E multiple, and recent research highlighting the chain's focus on higher margin foodservice and its consistency on EBITDA over multi year periods. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are leaning into a more constructive view on Casey's General Stores, with recent research pointing to higher value being placed on its foodservice mix and long term consistency in EBITDA.
Narrative Update • Jan 05

CASY: Future Store Expansion And Buybacks Will Support A Higher Market Rating

Analysts have raised their price target on Casey's General Stores from US$584 to about US$682, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiples. What's in the News From August 1, 2025 to October 31, 2025, Casey's repurchased 61,535 shares, representing 0.17% of shares, for US$31.25 million under its ongoing buyback program (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Dec 18

CASY: Store Expansion And Margin Outlook Will Support Premium Multiple Ahead

Analysts have nudged their price target for Casey's General Stores higher from 591.86 dollars to 600.00 dollars, citing slightly improved margin expectations and a modestly lower discount rate that more than offset trimmed revenue growth and a reduced future earnings multiple. What's in the News Plans to open at least 80 additional stores in fiscal 2026 through a mix of acquisitions and new builds, targeting roughly 500 new locations over the current three year strategic plan, with about 600 million dollars in capital spending on property and equipment (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Dec 04

CASY: Fuel And Inside Store Momentum Will Support Premium Multiple Ahead

Analysts have raised their price target on Casey's General Stores by about $6 to approximately $592, citing a strong Q1 earnings beat, sustained fuel and inside store momentum, and confidence that the company can support a premium earnings multiple despite slightly lower long term growth and margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary reflects a generally constructive view on Casey's General Stores, with several firms lifting price targets in response to the Q1 performance and updated growth outlook.
Narrative Update • Nov 20

CASY: Sustained Store Expansion And Strong Margins Will Support Premium Multiples Ahead

Analysts have raised their average price target for Casey's General Stores by approximately $45. They cite strong Q1 earnings, sustained fuel margins, and continued store growth momentum as key drivers for their increased outlook.
Analysis Article • Nov 07

Calculating The Fair Value Of Casey's General Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ:CASY)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Casey's General Stores fair value estimate is US$603 Current...
Narrative Update • Nov 06

CASY: Future Expansion Plans Will Drive Sustained Momentum And Premium Multiples

Casey's General Stores saw its analyst price target edge up modestly to $585.85 from $583.69. Analysts cited a strong Q1 earnings beat, impressive growth strategy execution, and projected sustained internal momentum as key drivers behind the revision.
Narrative Update • Oct 23

Analysts Raise Targets for Casey's General Stores as Growth Outlook and Valuation Improve

Casey's General Stores saw its analyst price target increase from $581 to $583.69, as analysts highlighted the company's strong Q1 earnings beat, continued momentum, and improved growth prospects in both fuel and in-store operations. Analyst Commentary Analysts have responded positively to Casey's General Stores' latest performance and outlook, with several major firms raising their price targets and highlighting key drivers for the company's growth and valuation.
Narrative Update • Oct 09

Store Expansion And Digital Platform Upgrades Will Shape Future Markets

Casey's General Stores' analyst price target has been raised from $571 to $581. Analysts highlight the company's stronger growth outlook, improved pricing power, and sustained gains in both fuel and in-store performance.
Narrative Update • Sep 25

Store Expansion And Digital Platform Upgrades Will Shape Future Markets

Analysts have raised their price target for Casey’s General Stores to $571.38, citing robust growth in market share, superior execution, strong fuel margins, and sustained inside-store momentum, which support higher EPS estimates and continued premium valuation. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite Casey's successful execution of its growth strategy, with notable gains in pricing power and market share, leading to raised EPS estimates for 2026.
Narrative Update • Sep 10

Store Expansion And Digital Platform Upgrades Will Shape Future Markets

Casey's General Stores' price target was raised to $564.33 as analysts cite robust Q1 earnings, sustained fuel and in-store margin strength, and durable growth prospects, though the stock now trades at a premium multiple above 30x EPS. Analyst Commentary Strong Q1 earnings beat, with EPS ahead of consensus, driven by share gains and robust margins in both fuel and in-store sales.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:CASY - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
4/30/202921,5479459011,6559
4/30/202820,9128567391,49718
4/30/202720,8667925591,34219
7/31/202618,6727736491,389N/A
4/30/202617,5617147221,378N/A
1/31/202616,9826506671,313N/A
10/31/202516,9706076821,258N/A
7/31/202516,4105826661,182N/A
4/30/202515,9415475851,091N/A
1/31/202515,5485355241,045N/A
10/31/202414,974535406963N/A
7/31/202415,091513392945N/A
4/30/202414,863502371893N/A
1/31/202414,592471349850N/A
10/31/202314,595484402878N/A
7/31/202314,509463371835N/A
4/30/202315,094447405882N/A
1/31/202315,225450489889N/A
10/31/202214,941414439819N/A
7/31/202214,225374460823N/A
4/30/202212,953340462789N/A
1/31/202211,872322271678N/A
10/31/202110,831296302708N/A
7/31/20219,784311252694N/A
4/30/20218,707313363804N/A
1/31/20217,913333430768N/A
10/31/20207,883329389745N/A
7/31/20207,865299295678N/A
4/30/20209,175264N/A504N/A
1/31/20208,470227N/A553N/A
10/31/20198,302235N/A538N/A
7/31/20198,386219N/A559N/A
4/30/20198,365204N/A531N/A
1/31/20198,302198N/A502N/A
10/31/20188,316349N/A483N/A
7/31/20187,947331N/A453N/A
4/30/20187,472318N/A420N/A
1/31/20187,231329N/A439N/A
10/31/20176,968159N/A461N/A
7/31/20176,751167N/A415N/A
4/30/20176,641177N/A459N/A
1/31/20175,767194N/A439N/A
10/31/20165,773210N/A462N/A
7/31/20166,000232N/A528N/A
4/30/20166,304226N/A472N/A
1/31/20166,478220N/A451N/A
10/31/20156,584222N/A409N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CASY's forecast earnings growth (7.2% per year) is above the savings rate (3.7%).

Earnings vs Market: CASY's earnings (7.2% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (17.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: CASY's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: CASY's revenue (5.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (13.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CASY's revenue (5.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CASY's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (17.4%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/16 04:06
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/16 00:00
Earnings2026/07/31
Annual Earnings2026/04/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Casey's General Stores, Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Karen ShortBarclays
Brian McNamaraBerenberg
Brandon FletcherBernstein