Prada S.p.A.

OTCPK:PRDS.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$14.6b

Prada Valuation

Is PRDS.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PRDS.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

US$6.19
Fair Value
12.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
18
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: PRDS.F ($5.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($6.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PRDS.F is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PRDS.F?

Key metric: As PRDS.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PRDS.F. This is calculated by dividing PRDS.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PRDS.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15x
Earnings€841.29m
Market Cap€12.62b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PRDS.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PRDS.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average60.2x
LULU lululemon athletica
11.3x1.89%US$19.9b
RL Ralph Lauren
24.2x6.75%US$18.7b
AS Amer Sports
76.6x29.73%US$17.2b
TPR Tapestry
128.9x25.10%US$22.4b
PRDS.F Prada
15x7.85%US$113.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PRDS.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15x) compared to the peer average (60.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PRDS.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Luxury Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DLAP.Q Delta Apparel
n/an/aUS$7.00
No more companies available in this PE range
PRDS.F 15.0xIndustry Avg. 19.4xNo. of Companies5PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PRDS.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15x) compared to the US Luxury industry average (19.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PRDS.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PRDS.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15x
Fair PE Ratio20x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PRDS.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PRDS.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$5.40
US$7.87
+45.78%
18.35%US$11.30US$5.72n/a18
Oct ’26US$5.66
US$8.06
+42.45%
18.29%US$11.47US$5.81n/a18
Sep ’26US$5.75
US$8.21
+42.76%
18.16%US$11.44US$5.81n/a18
Aug ’26US$5.33
US$8.35
+56.63%
15.41%US$11.31US$6.42n/a18
Jul ’26US$6.20
US$9.11
+46.88%
14.53%US$11.51US$6.70n/a18
Jun ’26US$6.40
US$9.11
+42.36%
11.96%US$11.09US$7.47n/a19
May ’26n/a
US$9.08
0%
12.99%US$11.03US$6.54n/a19
Apr ’26US$7.01
US$9.58
+36.60%
10.76%US$11.29US$6.72n/a21
Mar ’26US$8.24
US$9.33
+13.19%
10.52%US$10.96US$6.27n/a21
Feb ’26US$7.59
US$9.18
+21.00%
10.74%US$11.04US$6.29n/a20
Jan ’26US$8.01
US$8.87
+10.75%
9.36%US$10.23US$6.30n/a20
Dec ’25n/a
US$8.69
0%
9.31%US$10.03US$6.39n/a21
Nov ’25US$7.64
US$8.81
+15.35%
9.80%US$10.27US$6.55n/a21
Oct ’25US$7.38
US$8.68
+17.60%
9.07%US$9.95US$6.69US$5.6620
Sep ’25US$7.22
US$9.01
+24.82%
8.96%US$10.35US$6.68US$5.7520
Aug ’25US$7.23
US$8.81
+21.83%
9.06%US$10.11US$6.52US$5.3320
Jul ’25US$7.40
US$8.90
+20.20%
6.96%US$10.04US$8.06US$6.2018
Jun ’25US$8.40
US$8.83
+5.07%
8.36%US$9.92US$6.61US$6.4019
May ’25US$8.16
US$8.69
+6.50%
8.53%US$9.77US$6.51n/a19
Apr ’25US$7.90
US$8.17
+3.46%
12.09%US$9.55US$5.38US$7.0118
Mar ’25US$7.13
US$7.29
+2.26%
14.76%US$8.96US$5.02US$8.2419
Feb ’25US$6.17
US$7.34
+18.92%
14.24%US$9.50US$5.37US$7.5920
Jan ’25US$5.47
US$7.69
+40.52%
13.44%US$9.65US$5.86US$8.0120
Dec ’24US$5.40
US$7.61
+40.91%
13.47%US$9.53US$5.79n/a20
Nov ’24US$5.70
US$7.67
+34.59%
13.15%US$9.26US$5.62US$7.6420
Oct ’24US$5.65
US$7.79
+37.94%
13.30%US$9.64US$5.70US$7.3820
US$7.45
Fair Value
27.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
18
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/10/13 07:12
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/13 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Prada S.p.A. is covered by 51 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Julian EasthopeBarclays
Carole MadjoBarclays
Jiaying HuangBarclays