Moncler Valuation

Is MONR.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MONR.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MONR.F ($50) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($34.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MONR.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MONR.F?

Key metric: As MONR.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MONR.F. This is calculated by dividing MONR.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MONR.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.4x
Earnings€647.32m
Market Cap€12.57b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MONR.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MONR.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.5x
RL Ralph Lauren
19.3x6.9%US$13.2b
TPR Tapestry
17x8.1%US$13.7b
LULU Lululemon Athletica
23.8x7.2%US$38.9b
LEVI Levi Strauss
41.8x45.4%US$6.5b
MONR.F Moncler
19.4x6.9%US$12.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MONR.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x) compared to the peer average (25.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MONR.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Luxury Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
JXJT JX Luxventure
2.4xn/aUS$7.28m
DLAP.Q Delta Apparel
n/an/aUS$7.00
No more companies available in this PE range
MONR.F 19.4xIndustry Avg. 18.5xNo. of Companies6PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MONR.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x) compared to the US Luxury industry average (18.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MONR.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MONR.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MONR.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MONR.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$50.00
US$61.48
+23.0%
11.5%US$78.62US$48.22n/a24
Nov ’25US$56.60
US$64.01
+13.1%
11.8%US$81.27US$49.85n/a24
Oct ’25US$60.45
US$68.06
+12.6%
12.3%US$83.02US$52.58n/a23
Sep ’25n/a
US$72.94
0%
10.1%US$87.31US$52.50n/a23
Aug ’25US$58.05
US$71.40
+23.0%
10.0%US$85.41US$51.35n/a23
Jul ’25US$62.00
US$72.82
+17.5%
10.4%US$84.83US$51.00n/a23
Jun ’25US$66.17
US$75.14
+13.6%
9.6%US$87.12US$51.09n/a23
May ’25US$68.28
US$74.73
+9.5%
9.6%US$86.65US$50.81n/a23
Apr ’25US$75.71
US$72.92
-3.7%
10.3%US$87.69US$51.42n/a23
Mar ’25US$72.51
US$71.24
-1.7%
10.1%US$82.36US$51.47n/a24
Feb ’25US$55.25
US$67.00
+21.3%
9.4%US$75.87US$51.48n/a25
Jan ’25US$61.70
US$69.54
+12.7%
11.2%US$85.82US$52.26n/a25
Dec ’24US$55.25
US$69.31
+25.4%
10.8%US$84.83US$51.66n/a25
Nov ’24US$52.35
US$68.16
+30.2%
11.0%US$82.55US$50.27US$56.6025
Oct ’24US$58.20
US$72.46
+24.5%
10.0%US$82.44US$50.20US$60.4525
Sep ’24US$68.80
US$76.29
+10.9%
11.7%US$86.18US$51.17n/a24
Aug ’24US$72.19
US$77.28
+7.0%
13.7%US$87.97US$49.48US$58.0524
Jul ’24US$68.00
US$75.84
+11.5%
13.9%US$87.24US$49.07US$62.0024
Jun ’24US$65.65
US$75.09
+14.4%
13.9%US$86.15US$48.46US$66.1724
May ’24US$74.55
US$72.46
-2.8%
13.2%US$88.18US$45.75US$68.2824
Apr ’24US$67.99
US$68.19
+0.3%
12.2%US$81.35US$45.02US$75.7124
Mar ’24US$62.05
US$65.64
+5.8%
11.4%US$74.63US$44.25US$72.5125
Feb ’24US$62.80
US$62.94
+0.2%
11.0%US$75.55US$44.79US$55.2525
Jan ’24n/a
US$60.69
0%
11.4%US$74.30US$44.05US$61.7025
Dec ’23US$48.20
US$59.08
+22.6%
12.2%US$72.33US$38.75US$55.2525
Nov ’23US$43.45
US$57.11
+31.4%
12.4%US$69.16US$37.05US$52.3526

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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