Stock Analysis

Not Many Are Piling Into Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (NYSE:ZGN) Just Yet

NYSE:ZGN
Source: Shutterstock

There wouldn't be many who think Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.'s (NYSE:ZGN) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.5x is worth a mention when the median P/E in the United States is similar at about 18x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Recent times have been pleasing for Ermenegildo Zegna as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/E from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Ermenegildo Zegna

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:ZGN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 25th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Ermenegildo Zegna.

Is There Some Growth For Ermenegildo Zegna?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Ermenegildo Zegna would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 127%. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 13% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 10% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Ermenegildo Zegna is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Ermenegildo Zegna's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Ermenegildo Zegna with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If you're unsure about the strength of Ermenegildo Zegna's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Ermenegildo Zegna might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.