Vince Holding Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of VNCE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

VNCE ($1.7) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] ($55)

Is VNCE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VNCE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VNCE ($1.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VNCE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VNCE?

Key metric: As VNCE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VNCE. This is calculated by dividing VNCE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VNCE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	17x
Earnings	US$1.26m
Market Cap	US$21.43m

VNCE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	35.3x
PEG Ratio	2.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VNCE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VNCE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	28.6x
NCI Neo-Concept International Group Holdings	22.5x	n/a	US$12.7m
TFRF.F Tefron	6.3x	n/a	US$93.6m
JXJT JX Luxventure	2.6x	n/a	US$7.9m
LAKE Lakeland Industries	83.3x	105.2%	US$159.6m
VNCE Vince Holding	17x	5.8%	US$21.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VNCE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the peer average (28.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VNCE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Luxury Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
JXJT JX Luxventure	2.6x	n/a	US$7.88m
DLAP.Q Delta Apparel	n/a	n/a	US$7.00

No more companies available in this PE range

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VNCE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the US Luxury industry average (18.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VNCE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VNCE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	17x
Fair PE Ratio	8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VNCE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.