Optimistic Investors Push Champion Homes, Inc. (NYSE:SKY) Shares Up 26% But Growth Is Lacking

Champion Homes, Inc. (NYSE:SKY) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 13% over that time.

After such a large jump in price, Champion Homes' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.3x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 18x and even P/E's below 11x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

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With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Champion Homes has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Champion Homes

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Champion Homes.

How Is Champion Homes' Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Champion Homes would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 49% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 46% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 6.2% as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 16% growth , that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's alarming that Champion Homes' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining earnings are likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Champion Homes shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Champion Homes currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E for a company whose earnings are forecast to decline. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings are highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Champion Homes with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Champion Homes. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.