Skechers U.S.A Valuation

Is SKX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SKX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SKX ($60.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($76.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SKX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SKX?

Key metric: As SKX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SKX. This is calculated by dividing SKX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SKX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.6x
EarningsUS$627.33m
Market CapUS$9.16b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SKX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SKX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average57x
BIRK Birkenstock Holding
73.4x49.3%US$8.6b
CROX Crocs
6.8x-2.2%US$5.7b
DECK Deckers Outdoor
30.5x8.7%US$26.7b
ONON On Holding
117.2x29.8%US$16.6b
SKX Skechers U.S.A
14.6x12.3%US$9.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SKX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the peer average (57x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SKX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Luxury Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
JXJT JX Luxventure
2.9xn/aUS$8.79m
DLAP.Q Delta Apparel
n/an/aUS$7.00
No more companies available in this PE range
SKX 14.6xIndustry Avg. 18.3xNo. of Companies5PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SKX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the US Luxury industry average (18.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SKX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SKX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.6x
Fair PE Ratio18.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SKX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SKX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$60.70
US$82.05
+35.2%
8.7%US$100.00US$72.00n/a14
Nov ’25US$62.60
US$82.05
+31.1%
8.7%US$100.00US$72.00n/a14
Oct ’25US$66.95
US$81.01
+21.0%
5.9%US$92.00US$72.00n/a15
Sep ’25US$68.48
US$81.41
+18.9%
6.2%US$92.00US$72.00n/a15
Aug ’25US$63.27
US$81.41
+28.7%
6.2%US$92.00US$72.00n/a15
Jul ’25US$67.53
US$78.74
+16.6%
9.3%US$88.00US$60.00n/a15
Jun ’25US$71.42
US$74.38
+4.2%
10.5%US$88.00US$60.00n/a13
May ’25US$65.46
US$73.49
+12.3%
10.1%US$88.00US$60.00n/a14
Apr ’25US$61.32
US$70.25
+14.6%
9.5%US$85.00US$56.00n/a15
Mar ’25US$62.33
US$69.85
+12.1%
10.2%US$85.00US$56.00n/a13
Feb ’25US$63.60
US$71.76
+12.8%
11.1%US$88.00US$59.00n/a12
Jan ’25US$62.34
US$65.18
+4.5%
14.7%US$88.00US$49.00n/a12
Dec ’24US$59.15
US$63.95
+8.1%
14.8%US$88.00US$49.00n/a12
Nov ’24US$46.50
US$63.70
+37.0%
15.0%US$88.00US$49.00US$62.6012
Oct ’24US$48.95
US$62.12
+26.9%
9.8%US$75.00US$49.00US$66.9512
Sep ’24US$51.56
US$61.95
+20.2%
10.7%US$75.00US$49.00US$68.4812
Aug ’24US$55.58
US$61.51
+10.7%
11.3%US$75.00US$48.00US$63.2712
Jul ’24US$52.66
US$58.76
+11.6%
8.5%US$65.00US$48.00US$67.5312
Jun ’24US$50.44
US$58.76
+16.5%
8.5%US$65.00US$48.00US$71.4212
May ’24US$53.14
US$58.01
+9.2%
10.2%US$65.00US$47.10US$65.4612
Apr ’24US$47.52
US$54.09
+13.8%
9.4%US$62.00US$46.00US$61.3212
Mar ’24US$45.32
US$55.62
+22.7%
12.0%US$69.00US$46.00US$62.3313
Feb ’24US$49.22
US$52.92
+7.5%
11.7%US$65.00US$42.00US$63.6013
Jan ’24US$41.95
US$47.71
+13.7%
7.9%US$54.00US$42.00US$62.3413
Dec ’23US$42.98
US$45.43
+5.7%
12.7%US$54.00US$31.00US$59.1512
Nov ’23US$35.23
US$44.52
+26.4%
14.5%US$54.00US$31.00US$46.5012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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