Crocs Valuation

Is CROX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CROX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CROX ($105.68) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($273.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CROX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CROX?

Key metric: As CROX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CROX. This is calculated by dividing CROX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CROX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.4x
EarningsUS$834.75m
Market CapUS$6.23b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CROX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CROX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.6x
RCKY Rocky Brands
12.5xn/aUS$168.8m
SKX Skechers U.S.A
16x12.0%US$10.0b
SHOO Steven Madden
18.1x18.9%US$3.1b
DECK Deckers Outdoor
35.6x8.3%US$30.6b
CROX Crocs
7.4x-2.6%US$6.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CROX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.4x) compared to the peer average (20.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CROX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Luxury Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
JXJT JX Luxventure
1.6xn/aUS$5.05m
No more companies available in this PE range
CROX 7.4xIndustry Avg. 18.2xNo. of Companies5PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CROX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.4x) compared to the US Luxury industry average (18.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CROX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CROX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.4x
Fair PE Ratio12.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CROX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CROX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$105.68
US$135.52
+28.2%
14.5%US$180.00US$100.00n/a14
Dec ’25US$105.60
US$135.60
+28.4%
14.8%US$180.00US$100.00n/a14
Nov ’25US$106.21
US$142.39
+34.1%
14.3%US$180.00US$100.00n/a13
Oct ’25US$141.63
US$161.51
+14.0%
9.0%US$190.00US$128.00n/a14
Sep ’25US$146.17
US$162.00
+10.8%
9.3%US$190.00US$128.00n/a13
Aug ’25US$130.81
US$159.08
+21.6%
11.2%US$190.00US$124.00n/a12
Jul ’25US$147.75
US$160.33
+8.5%
11.5%US$190.00US$124.00n/a12
Jun ’25US$155.64
US$158.08
+1.6%
10.6%US$190.00US$124.00n/a12
May ’25US$123.55
US$145.82
+18.0%
10.0%US$167.00US$124.00n/a13
Apr ’25US$145.75
US$140.97
-3.3%
13.4%US$167.00US$95.00n/a15
Mar ’25US$124.81
US$137.04
+9.8%
12.1%US$160.00US$95.00n/a14
Feb ’25US$100.81
US$125.00
+24.0%
18.3%US$160.00US$79.00n/a12
Jan ’25US$93.41
US$122.17
+30.8%
19.9%US$160.00US$79.00n/a12
Dec ’24US$106.56
US$120.00
+12.6%
21.0%US$160.00US$79.00US$105.6011
Nov ’24US$87.41
US$131.00
+49.9%
21.4%US$185.00US$101.00US$106.2111
Oct ’24US$88.23
US$134.20
+52.1%
20.5%US$185.00US$101.00US$141.6310
Sep ’24US$99.86
US$137.50
+37.7%
18.0%US$185.00US$102.00US$146.1710
Aug ’24US$107.00
US$140.70
+31.5%
16.7%US$185.00US$102.00US$130.8110
Jul ’24US$112.44
US$154.60
+37.5%
12.5%US$185.00US$124.00US$147.7510
Jun ’24US$105.16
US$154.60
+47.0%
12.5%US$185.00US$124.00US$155.6410
May ’24US$120.98
US$166.91
+38.0%
25.8%US$290.00US$124.00US$123.5511
Apr ’24US$126.44
US$164.36
+30.0%
26.8%US$290.00US$118.00US$145.7511
Mar ’24US$124.45
US$164.30
+32.0%
28.4%US$290.00US$118.00US$124.8110
Feb ’24US$125.24
US$133.89
+6.9%
14.5%US$165.00US$103.00US$100.819
Jan ’24US$108.43
US$98.33
-9.3%
15.6%US$118.00US$74.00US$93.419
Dec ’23US$99.69
US$92.00
-7.7%
16.0%US$115.00US$65.00US$106.569

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 23:09
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Crocs, Inc. is covered by 34 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jonathan KompBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Adrienne Yih-TennantBarclays