Meritage Homes Corporation

NYSE:MTH Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.2b

Meritage Homes Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Meritage Homes is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 4% and 4.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 10.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.6% in 3 years.

Key information

4.0%

Earnings growth rate

10.53%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Durables earnings growth7.9%
Revenue growth rate4.4%
Future return on equity10.62%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated04 Feb 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Meritage Homes Remains A Top Tier Play

Jan 26

Slowing Rates Of Return At Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH) Leave Little Room For Excitement

Sep 24
Slowing Rates Of Return At Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH) Leave Little Room For Excitement

When Should You Buy Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH)?

Jul 12
When Should You Buy Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH)?

Is There Now An Opportunity In Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH)?

Apr 13
Is There Now An Opportunity In Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH)?

Meritage Homes Corporation's (NYSE:MTH) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

Mar 26
Meritage Homes Corporation's (NYSE:MTH) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

Returns At Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH) Are On The Way Up

Mar 11
Returns At Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH) Are On The Way Up

Meritage Homes: Strong Execution And Resilient Demand Fuel Growth

Feb 05

Meritage Homes: Favourable Macro Backdrop And A Right Strategy In Place

Dec 14

Meritage Homes: Expect Value To Keep Building

Oct 13
User avatar

Aggressive Expansion And Narrow Market Focus Risk Eroding Future Profits

Focusing on move-in ready homes and rapid community expansion may narrow market appeal and increase operational risks, impacting earnings.

Meritage Homes Corporation: Staying Buy Rated As Demand Outlook Remains Positive

Jul 30

Meritage Homes Corporation: Reiterate Buy Rating On Strong Demand Profile

May 07

Meritage Homes: An Upgrade Heading Into Earnings On Strong Orders

Apr 21

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:MTH - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20286,639584N/AN/A1
12/31/20276,3854641381647
12/31/20265,7843891291556
12/31/20255,85845393118N/A
9/30/20256,044542-253-225N/A
6/30/20256,216638-248-220N/A
3/31/20256,285723-380-352N/A
12/31/20246,395786-256-228N/A
9/30/20246,434812-261-233N/A
6/30/20246,456838-67-36N/A
3/31/20246,328793277313N/A
12/31/20236,138739317356N/A
9/30/20236,4778029971,035N/A
6/30/20236,442843933968N/A
3/31/20236,286906488518N/A
12/31/20226,292992378405N/A
9/30/20225,798967-100-73N/A
6/30/20225,479906-243-215N/A
3/31/20225,344823-153-126N/A
12/31/20215,141737-178-152N/A
9/30/20215,053653-114-91N/A
6/30/20214,931561129149N/A
3/31/20214,685484453473N/A
12/31/20204,501423510530N/A
9/30/20204,227375532553N/A
6/30/20204,029335448471N/A
3/31/20203,860295334358N/A
12/31/20193,667250322347N/A
9/30/20193,539222N/A356N/A
6/30/20193,482206N/A386N/A
3/31/20193,494209N/A312N/A
12/31/20183,529227N/A262N/A
9/30/20183,466187N/A161N/A
6/30/20183,387176N/A33N/A
3/31/20183,311164N/A-20N/A
12/31/20173,241143N/A-87N/A
9/30/20173,175160N/A-129N/A
6/30/20173,121154N/A-124N/A
3/31/20173,117152N/A-106N/A
12/31/20163,042150N/A-103N/A
9/30/20162,942151N/A-98N/A
6/30/20162,859144N/A-37N/A
3/31/20162,658133N/A-47N/A
12/31/20152,579129N/A-3N/A
9/30/20152,497125N/A-35N/A
6/30/20152,383127N/A-118N/A
3/31/20152,291133N/A-120N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MTH's forecast earnings growth (4% per year) is above the savings rate (3.4%).

Earnings vs Market: MTH's earnings (4% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MTH's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: MTH's revenue (4.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (10.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MTH's revenue (4.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MTH's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.6%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/09 07:40
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/09 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Meritage Homes Corporation is covered by 20 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Stephen KimBarclays
Rafe JadrosichBofA Global Research
Tyler BatoryBrean Capital (formerly Janney Montgomery)