Stock Analysis

Mohawk Industries (NYSE:MHK) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

NYSE:MHK
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Mohawk Industries, Inc. (NYSE:MHK) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Mohawk Industries

What Is Mohawk Industries's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Mohawk Industries had US$2.09b of debt in September 2024, down from US$2.52b, one year before. On the flip side, it has US$424.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$1.67b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:MHK Debt to Equity History January 26th 2025

How Healthy Is Mohawk Industries' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Mohawk Industries had liabilities of US$2.77b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$2.69b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$424.0m and US$2.04b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$2.99b.

Mohawk Industries has a market capitalization of US$7.91b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Mohawk Industries has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.1. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 16.3 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Also positive, Mohawk Industries grew its EBIT by 30% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Mohawk Industries's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Mohawk Industries's free cash flow amounted to 42% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

The good news is that Mohawk Industries's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Mohawk Industries is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Mohawk Industries , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.