M.D.C. Holdings, Inc.

NYSE:MDC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.7b

M.D.C. Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

M.D.C. Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 8% and 6.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 7.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 13% in 3 years.

Key information

8.0%

Earnings growth rate

7.2%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Durables earnings growth8.6%
Revenue growth rate6.6%
Future return on equity13.0%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated19 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

M.D.C. Sells To Sekisui At An Attractive Price; Further Upside Is Unlikely

Jan 18

Earnings Working Against M.D.C. Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:MDC) Share Price

Jan 03
Earnings Working Against M.D.C. Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:MDC) Share Price

We Think M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Dec 18
We Think M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Returns On Capital At M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC) Have Hit The Brakes

Nov 18
Returns On Capital At M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC) Have Hit The Brakes

M.D.C. Holdings: Navigating Through A Tough Housing Market

Nov 17

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:MDC)?

Nov 03
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:MDC)?

M.D.C. Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:MDC) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 24% Below Its Share Price

Sep 22
M.D.C. Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:MDC) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 24% Below Its Share Price

M.D.C. Holdings: Awaiting Q3 Results To Validate If Earnings Normalization Phase Has Started

Sep 06

We Think M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Sep 05
We Think M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Upgrade: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Increase To Their M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:MDC) Forecasts

Aug 01
Upgrade: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Increase To Their M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:MDC) Forecasts

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:MDC)?

Jul 28
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:MDC)?

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC)

Jul 13
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC)

M.D.C. Holdings: Not The Best Financially But Has A Margin Of Safety

Jul 09

Does M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Jun 05
Does M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

M.D.C. Holdings: Trends Are Turning, But Better To Wait And See

May 26

M.D.C. Holdings' (NYSE:MDC) Dividend Will Be $0.50

Apr 21
M.D.C. Holdings' (NYSE:MDC) Dividend Will Be $0.50

When Should You Buy M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:MDC)?

Apr 14
When Should You Buy M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:MDC)?

Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC)

Mar 30
Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC)

Does M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Mar 07
Does M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

M.D.C. Holdings: Near-Term Concerns May Weigh On Share Price Performance

Feb 08

M.D.C. Q4 2022 Earnings Preview

Jan 30

M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.50

Jan 28
M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.50

M.D.C. Holdings declares $0.50 dividend

Jan 24

M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:MDC) Shares Could Be 24% Above Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Jan 13
M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:MDC) Shares Could Be 24% Above Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Is M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:MDC) Potentially Undervalued?

Dec 29
Is M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:MDC) Potentially Undervalued?

Returns On Capital Are A Standout For M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC)

Dec 13
Returns On Capital Are A Standout For M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC)

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:MDC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20265,6725022692941
12/31/20255,3044762222471
12/31/20244,8854232893143
12/31/20234,643399518562N/A
9/30/20234,8163591,1621,185N/A
6/30/20235,1473961,3611,387N/A
3/31/20235,4984921,1861,214N/A
12/31/20225,718559877906N/A
9/30/20225,664642194222N/A
6/30/20225,523643-79-49N/A
3/31/20225,437608-63-32N/A
12/31/20215,255571-238-208N/A
9/30/20215,014555-168-139N/A
6/30/20214,750509-94-67N/A
3/31/20214,269439-70-44N/A
12/31/20203,901365-50-23N/A
9/30/20203,78131195120N/A
6/30/20203,5162633458N/A
3/31/20203,348233-59-34N/A
12/31/20193,2932373358N/A
9/30/20193,071199-918N/A
6/30/20193,08420276104N/A
3/31/20193,10321181108N/A
12/31/20183,065210-35-8N/A
9/30/20182,907180-83-63N/A
6/30/20182,726187-122-108N/A
3/31/20182,623158-93-85N/A
12/31/20172,5781416871N/A
9/30/20172,587157N/A199N/A
6/30/20172,580122N/A260N/A
3/31/20172,501115N/A225N/A
12/31/20162,327103N/A116N/A
9/30/20162,17685N/A18N/A
6/30/20162,04874N/A-66N/A
3/31/20161,93267N/A-30N/A
12/31/20151,90966N/A0N/A
9/30/20151,83658N/A-17N/A
6/30/20151,78658N/A-23N/A
3/31/20151,75560N/A-34N/A
12/31/20141,69863N/A-164N/A
9/30/20141,66177N/A-217N/A
6/30/20141,69197N/A-220N/A
3/31/20141,664299N/A-328N/A
12/31/20131,680309N/A-270N/A
9/30/20131,614310N/A-284N/A
6/30/20131,500294N/A-239N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MDC's forecast earnings growth (8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: MDC's earnings (8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MDC's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: MDC's revenue (6.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MDC's revenue (6.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MDC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/04/19 20:46
End of Day Share Price 2024/04/19 00:00
Earnings2023/12/31
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. is covered by 22 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher GrajaArgus Research Company
John LovalloBofA Global Research
Kenneth LeonCFRA Equity Research