Stock Analysis

We Think Hamilton Beach Brands Holding's (NYSE:HBB) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

NYSE:HBB
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Shareholders appeared to be happy with Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company's (NYSE:HBB) solid earnings report last week. This reaction by the market reaction is understandable when looking at headline profits and we have found some further encouraging factors.

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earnings-and-revenue-history
NYSE:HBB Earnings and Revenue History March 13th 2024

Zooming In On Hamilton Beach Brands Holding's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to December 2023, Hamilton Beach Brands Holding had an accrual ratio of -0.29. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of US$85m, well over the US$25.2m it reported in profit. Notably, Hamilton Beach Brands Holding had negative free cash flow last year, so the US$85m it produced this year was a welcome improvement.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hamilton Beach Brands Holding.

Our Take On Hamilton Beach Brands Holding's Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, Hamilton Beach Brands Holding produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Hamilton Beach Brands Holding's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And it's also good to see that its earnings per share have improved a bit over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that Hamilton Beach Brands Holding has 2 warning signs (1 is significant!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Hamilton Beach Brands Holding's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Hamilton Beach Brands Holding is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.