Canada Goose Holdings Inc.

NYSE:GOOS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$907.3m

Canada Goose Holdings Valuation

Is GOOS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GOOS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GOOS ($9.7) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GOOS is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GOOS?

Key metric: As GOOS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GOOS. This is calculated by dividing GOOS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GOOS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.9x
EarningsCA$63.60m
Market CapCA$1.27b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GOOS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GOOS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average36.9x
FIGS FIGS
78x36.3%US$801.5m
GIII G-III Apparel Group
7.3x-1.4%US$1.3b
OXM Oxford Industries
43.2x38.0%US$1.2b
ZGN Ermenegildo Zegna
19x11.8%US$1.9b
GOOS Canada Goose Holdings
19.9x-4.5%US$1.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GOOS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x) compared to the peer average (36.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GOOS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Luxury Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
JXJT JX Luxventure
2.4xn/aUS$7.28m
DLAP.Q Delta Apparel
n/an/aUS$7.00
No more companies available in this PE range
GOOS 19.9xIndustry Avg. 18.5xNo. of Companies6PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GOOS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x) compared to the US Luxury industry average (18.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GOOS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GOOS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.9x
Fair PE Ratio9.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GOOS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GOOS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9.70
US$9.22
-5.0%
11.2%US$10.77US$7.90n/a7
Nov ’25US$9.74
US$10.48
+7.5%
17.2%US$12.99US$7.94n/a7
Oct ’25US$12.32
US$11.71
-5.0%
15.0%US$13.79US$7.99n/a8
Sep ’25US$11.67
US$11.71
+0.3%
15.0%US$13.79US$7.99n/a8
Aug ’25US$10.90
US$13.54
+24.2%
30.3%US$23.79US$7.93n/a9
Jul ’25US$12.73
US$14.48
+13.8%
26.8%US$24.25US$8.08n/a10
Jun ’25US$14.46
US$14.48
+0.1%
26.8%US$24.25US$8.08n/a10
May ’25US$11.24
US$13.48
+19.9%
31.1%US$24.43US$8.14n/a10
Apr ’25US$12.32
US$13.48
+9.4%
31.1%US$24.43US$8.14n/a10
Mar ’25US$13.76
US$13.48
-2.1%
31.1%US$24.43US$8.14n/a10
Feb ’25US$13.01
US$13.30
+2.2%
31.4%US$24.65US$8.22n/a10
Jan ’25US$11.85
US$12.78
+7.9%
31.9%US$24.28US$9.56n/a10
Dec ’24US$11.73
US$12.71
+8.4%
31.9%US$24.14US$9.51n/a10
Nov ’24US$10.13
US$16.33
+61.2%
33.3%US$29.58US$10.10US$9.7410
Oct ’24US$14.66
US$19.40
+32.3%
21.4%US$30.31US$14.79US$12.3210
Sep ’24US$16.26
US$20.68
+27.2%
23.1%US$30.63US$14.94US$11.679
Aug ’24US$17.81
US$21.42
+20.2%
21.2%US$31.10US$15.17US$10.909
Jul ’24US$17.80
US$21.15
+18.8%
20.3%US$30.36US$14.81US$12.739
Jun ’24US$15.70
US$21.15
+34.7%
20.3%US$30.36US$14.81US$14.469
May ’24US$19.79
US$21.55
+8.9%
18.3%US$30.34US$17.02US$11.249
Apr ’24US$19.25
US$21.55
+11.9%
18.3%US$30.34US$17.02US$12.329
Mar ’24US$18.83
US$21.72
+15.3%
20.2%US$30.42US$14.84US$13.7611
Feb ’24US$24.65
US$22.72
-7.8%
17.2%US$30.80US$17.28US$13.0110
Jan ’24US$17.81
US$21.04
+18.1%
20.6%US$30.77US$15.01US$11.8510
Dec ’23US$18.71
US$21.04
+12.4%
20.6%US$30.77US$15.01US$11.7310
Nov ’23US$16.40
US$24.41
+48.9%
22.5%US$35.97US$16.88US$10.1311

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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