Stock Analysis

Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On Traeger, Inc. (NYSE:COOK)

NYSE:COOK
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There wouldn't be many who think Traeger, Inc.'s (NYSE:COOK) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Consumer Durables industry in the United States is similar at about 0.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Traeger

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:COOK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 12th 2023

What Does Traeger's Recent Performance Look Like?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Traeger's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Traeger.

How Is Traeger's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Traeger's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 16% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 6.4% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 10% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 3.5% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Traeger's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Traeger's P/S

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Traeger's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Traeger that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Traeger is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.