Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Latham Group (NASDAQ:SWIM)

NasdaqGS:SWIM
Source: Shutterstock

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Although, when we looked at Latham Group (NASDAQ:SWIM), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Latham Group:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.021 = US$17m ÷ (US$930m - US$106m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to April 2023).

Thus, Latham Group has an ROCE of 2.1%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Leisure industry average of 18%.

View our latest analysis for Latham Group

roce
NasdaqGS:SWIM Return on Capital Employed June 29th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Latham Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Latham Group.

SWOT Analysis for Latham Group

Strength
  • Debt is well covered by cash flow.
Weakness
  • Interest payments on debt are not well covered.
  • Expensive based on P/S ratio and estimated fair value.
Opportunity
  • Expected to breakeven next year.
  • Has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years based on current free cash flows.
  • Significant insider buying over the past 3 months.
Threat
  • Revenue is forecast to decrease over the next 2 years.

How Are Returns Trending?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Latham Group, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last three years, returns on capital have decreased to 2.1% from 5.8% three years ago. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

The Bottom Line

In summary, Latham Group is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 53% in the last year. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.

On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for Latham Group that we think you should be aware of.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGS:SWIM

Latham Group

Designs, manufactures, and markets in-ground residential swimming pools in North America, Australia, and New Zealand.

Moderate growth potential with acceptable track record.

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