Newell Brands (NWL): A Fresh Look at Valuation After Recent Slide

Newell Brands (NWL) shares have struggled to find sustained momentum lately, with the stock drifting lower roughly 15% over the past month. That pattern has caught the attention of investors interested in value and turnaround stories.

See our latest analysis for Newell Brands.

Newell Brands’ share price has slipped sharply over the past year, losing over half its value year to date. The 1-year total shareholder return now sits at about -36%, and investors are watching to see if recent cost cuts and brand moves can spark a shift in momentum.

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With shares now trading at a discount to analyst price targets and well below recent peaks, investors are left debating if Newell Brands has become a classic value pick or if the market has already accounted for the road ahead.

Most Popular Narrative: 28.9% Undervalued

The most closely-followed narrative puts Newell Brands’ fair value well above its closing price, suggesting investors may be overlooking future profit potential priced in by analysts. Here is what is driving this assessment.

Product innovation, digital engagement, and premiumization are strengthening brand loyalty and supporting both revenue growth and higher profit margins. Portfolio optimization and cost-saving initiatives are enhancing operational efficiency, cash flow quality, and competitive positioning amidst shifting consumer and retail trends.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what makes this narrative so bullish? The secret sauce involves a mix of new profitability targets and a projected turnaround in core margins. There is a bold target for future earnings set by analysts. But what makes their math add up? You will want to see which financial levers they are pulling to get to that surprising fair value.

Result: Fair Value of $6.83 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, ongoing core sales declines and exposure to changing tariffs, if persistent, could challenge the bullish outlook and limit Newell’s recovery potential.

Find out about the key risks to this Newell Brands narrative.

Build Your Own Newell Brands Narrative

If these perspectives do not match your view or you are eager to run your own analysis, why not dive in yourself and craft a narrative in just a few minutes? Do it your way

A great starting point for your Newell Brands research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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