Stock Analysis

Dogness (International) Corporation's (NASDAQ:DOGZ) Shares Climb 27% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

NasdaqCM:DOGZ
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Despite an already strong run, Dogness (International) Corporation (NASDAQ:DOGZ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 1,670% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.

After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Luxury industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.8x, you may consider Dogness (International) as a stock not worth researching with its 46.3x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Dogness (International)

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:DOGZ Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 8th 2024

How Has Dogness (International) Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Dogness (International)'s financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Dogness (International), take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Dogness (International)?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Dogness (International)'s to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 16% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 39% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 4.4% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Dogness (International)'s P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Dogness (International)'s P/S Mean For Investors?

The strong share price surge has lead to Dogness (International)'s P/S soaring as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Dogness (International) revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Dogness (International) (including 2 which shouldn't be ignored).

If you're unsure about the strength of Dogness (International)'s business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.