Allbirds, Inc.

NasdaqGS:BIRD Stock Report

Market Cap: US$55.4m

Allbirds Valuation

Is BIRD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BIRD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BIRD ($7.15) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($4.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BIRD is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BIRD?

Key metric: As BIRD is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for BIRD. This is calculated by dividing BIRD's market cap by their current revenue.
What is BIRD's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesUS$205.90m
Market CapUS$55.37m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BIRD's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BIRD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.7x
MCRA.A McRae Industries
1xn/aUS$116.8m
RCKY Rocky Brands
0.4x3.3%US$166.9m
WWW Wolverine World Wide
1x4.5%US$1.8b
CULP Culp
0.3x8.5%US$66.8m
BIRD Allbirds
0.3x-3.5%US$55.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BIRD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does BIRD's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Luxury Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UFI Unifi
0.2x8.5%US$100.83m
FOSL Fossil Group
0.08xn/aUS$94.15m
JXG JX Luxventure
0.2xn/aUS$4.90m
FORD Forward Industries
0.2xn/aUS$4.86m
BIRD 0.3xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies8PS00.81.62.43.24+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BIRD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the US Luxury industry average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BIRD's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BIRD PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BIRD is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BIRD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$7.15
US$11.00
+53.8%
9.1%US$12.00US$10.00n/a2
Dec ’25US$7.99
US$11.00
+37.7%
9.1%US$12.00US$10.00n/a2
Oct ’25US$10.91
US$13.50
+23.7%
3.7%US$14.00US$13.00n/a2
Sep ’25US$14.13
US$17.00
+20.3%
17.6%US$20.00US$14.00n/a2
Aug ’25US$12.49
US$17.00
+36.1%
17.6%US$20.00US$14.00n/a2
Jul ’25US$9.96
US$17.00
+70.6%
17.6%US$20.00US$14.00n/a2
Jun ’25US$11.79
US$17.00
+44.2%
17.6%US$20.00US$14.00n/a2
May ’25US$10.97
US$19.00
+73.2%
5.3%US$20.00US$18.00n/a2
Apr ’25US$12.86
US$19.50
+51.7%
4.4%US$20.00US$18.00n/a4
Mar ’25US$18.19
US$23.00
+26.4%
22.6%US$32.00US$20.00n/a4
Feb ’25US$19.55
US$23.40
+19.7%
20.2%US$32.00US$20.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$24.50
US$22.83
-6.8%
19.7%US$32.00US$20.00n/a6
Dec ’24US$20.60
US$23.50
+14.1%
25.0%US$36.00US$20.00US$7.996
Nov ’24US$16.16
US$30.00
+85.7%
27.2%US$40.00US$20.00US$11.066
Oct ’24US$22.20
US$32.86
+48.0%
21.3%US$40.00US$20.00US$10.917
Sep ’24US$26.20
US$37.50
+43.1%
37.1%US$70.00US$20.00US$14.138
Aug ’24US$29.40
US$41.25
+40.3%
39.2%US$80.00US$20.00US$12.498
Jul ’24US$25.20
US$41.25
+63.7%
39.2%US$80.00US$20.00US$9.968
Jun ’24US$24.00
US$41.25
+71.9%
39.2%US$80.00US$20.00US$11.798
May ’24US$25.00
US$45.56
+82.2%
47.5%US$100.00US$20.00US$10.979
Apr ’24US$24.00
US$52.78
+119.9%
41.2%US$100.00US$30.00US$12.869
Mar ’24US$57.00
US$98.00
+71.9%
37.0%US$180.00US$60.00US$18.1910
Feb ’24US$58.60
US$98.00
+67.2%
37.0%US$180.00US$60.00US$19.5510
Jan ’24US$48.40
US$100.00
+106.6%
34.1%US$180.00US$60.00US$24.5011
Dec ’23US$57.20
US$101.82
+78.0%
31.8%US$180.00US$60.00US$20.6011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 23:00
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Allbirds, Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brian McNamaraBerenberg
Lorraine Corrine HutchinsonBofA Global Research
Janine Hoffman StichterBTIG