Aterian Valuation

Is ATER undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ATER when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ATER's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ATER's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ATER?

Key metric: As ATER is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ATER. This is calculated by dividing ATER's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ATER's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
SalesUS$107.19m
Market CapUS$17.14m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ATER's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ATER vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.6x
FEBO Fenbo Holdings
1.4xn/aUS$22.1m
VIOT Viomi Technology
0.3xn/aUS$104.4m
QEPC Q.E.P
0.5xn/aUS$114.3m
IRBT iRobot
0.2x-5.4%US$220.3m
ATER Aterian
0.2x1.1%US$17.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ATER is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ATER's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Durables Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NTZ Natuzzi
0.1xn/aUS$47.64m
LIVE Live Ventures
0.07xn/aUS$31.32m
DXYN Dixie Group
0.04xn/aUS$9.77m
RIME Algorhythm Holdings
0.09xn/aUS$3.04m
ATER 0.2xIndustry Avg. 0.8xNo. of Companies11PS00.61.21.82.43+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ATER is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the US Consumer Durables industry average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ATER's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ATER PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ATER is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ATER forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.39
US$8.50
+255.6%
41.2%US$12.00US$5.00n/a2
Nov ’25US$2.83
US$8.50
+200.4%
41.2%US$12.00US$5.00n/a2
Oct ’25US$2.79
US$8.50
+204.7%
41.2%US$12.00US$5.00n/a2
Sep ’25US$2.99
US$9.67
+223.3%
34.1%US$12.00US$5.00n/a3
Aug ’25US$2.88
US$9.67
+235.6%
34.1%US$12.00US$5.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$2.54
US$9.67
+280.6%
34.1%US$12.00US$5.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$2.63
US$9.67
+267.6%
34.1%US$12.00US$5.00n/a3
Apr ’25US$2.51
US$10.00
+298.4%
28.3%US$12.00US$6.00n/a3
Mar ’25US$5.71
US$9.00
+57.7%
33.3%US$12.00US$6.00n/a2
Feb ’25US$3.72
US$9.00
+142.0%
33.3%US$12.00US$6.00n/a2
Jan ’25US$4.18
US$9.00
+115.2%
33.3%US$12.00US$6.00n/a2
Dec ’24US$4.05
US$9.00
+122.5%
33.3%US$12.00US$6.00n/a2
Nov ’24US$3.22
US$9.00
+179.5%
33.3%US$12.00US$6.00US$2.832
Oct ’24US$3.92
US$9.00
+129.4%
33.3%US$12.00US$6.00US$2.792
Sep ’24US$4.29
US$9.00
+109.8%
33.3%US$12.00US$6.00US$2.992
Aug ’24US$5.93
US$15.00
+153.1%
60.0%US$24.00US$6.00US$2.882
Jul ’24US$5.52
US$17.10
+209.8%
40.4%US$24.00US$10.20US$2.542
Jun ’24US$7.12
US$17.10
+140.1%
40.4%US$24.00US$10.20US$2.632
May ’24US$8.81
US$26.00
+195.2%
39.2%US$36.00US$12.00US$2.383
Apr ’24US$10.32
US$31.80
+208.1%
36.6%US$48.00US$12.00US$2.515
Mar ’24US$13.68
US$34.20
+150.0%
33.1%US$48.00US$15.00US$5.715
Feb ’24US$18.24
US$31.00
+70.0%
40.5%US$48.00US$15.00US$3.726
Jan ’24US$9.24
US$33.60
+263.5%
45.7%US$48.00US$15.00US$4.185
Dec ’23US$13.20
US$33.60
+154.5%
45.7%US$48.00US$15.00US$4.055
Nov ’23US$12.84
US$55.20
+329.9%
31.8%US$84.00US$30.00US$3.225

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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