Republic Services (RSG): A Fresh Look at Valuation After Recent Share Price Dip

Republic Services (RSG) shares have drifted slightly lower over the past month, with the stock easing around 7%. Investors are watching how the company’s underlying financials stack up in light of this move.

See our latest analysis for Republic Services.

Republic Services' 1-year total shareholder return of nearly 5% shows steady progress, even as recent share price momentum has faded with a 30-day decline of 7.1%. Despite the dip, long-term investors have enjoyed impressive gains. The three-year total return is over 64%, and the investment has more than doubled over five years.

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With Republic Services trading roughly 20% below analyst price targets and showing healthy revenue and income growth, the key question is whether investors are overlooking an opportunity or if future gains are already reflected in the price.

Most Popular Narrative: 18.9% Undervalued

Despite shares closing at $208.24, the most widely followed narrative puts Republic Services’ intrinsic fair value at $256.68. The gap has widened as analysts revisit growth expectations and margin forecasts.

Sustainability efforts such as the development of Polymer Centers and the Blue Polymers joint venture could drive future revenue growth by enhancing plastic circularity and decarbonization. These operations are expected to contribute to earnings starting in the second half of 2025.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to know why some analysts see massive upside despite slower growth? The secret is bolder multi-year profit margins and industry-leading scale-ups in circularity and clean energy. Uncover the surprise drivers that shape this aggressive target. If you want to understand how future earnings power and strategic investments feed directly into the fair value math, read the full narrative.

Result: Fair Value of $256.68 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, ongoing softness in construction volumes and the risk of integration missteps with new acquisitions could challenge the upbeat outlook for Republic Services.

Find out about the key risks to this Republic Services narrative.

Build Your Own Republic Services Narrative

If you’d rather dig into the numbers and shape the story to fit your own outlook, you can build a full narrative from scratch in just minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Republic Services research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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