GFL Environmental Inc.

NYSE:GFL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$15.2b

GFL Environmental Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

GFL Environmental's earnings are forecast to decline at 45.1% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 2.6% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 53.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.9% in 3 years.

Key information

-45.1%

Earnings growth rate

-53.74%

EPS growth rate

Commercial Services earnings growth14.1%
Revenue growth rate2.6%
Future return on equity6.88%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated14 Jan 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

GFL Environmental: Hard To See Any Upside If Macro Pressure Persists

Aug 11

GFL Environmental: EBITDA Growth Should Accelerate From Here

Nov 15

GFL Environmental: Buyout Premium Fully Priced In

Aug 15

GFL Environmental: Multiple Drivers That Could Lead To FY24 EBITDA Guidance Beat

Mar 07

GFL Environmental: Poised For Improvement Amid Strong M&A Activity And Expanding Margins

Feb 27

GFL Environmental: An Overpriced Roll Up Strategy

Dec 05

GFL Environmental Sees Improving Fundamentals Through 2024 (Rating Upgrade)

Oct 12

GFL Environmental: To Trade At A Premium As It Is Deleveraging Balance Sheet

Jul 28

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:GFL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CAD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20288,205N/A1,0992,1193
12/31/20277,5663311,0001,93716
12/31/20267,0731548661,71517
12/31/20256,5963,7987521,36816
9/30/20258,224862261,436N/A
6/30/20258,08441901,392N/A
3/31/20257,990-8132391,451N/A
12/31/20247,862-8033471,540N/A
9/30/20246,450-8242691,376N/A
6/30/20246,786-846531,155N/A
3/31/20247,148-20-301,051N/A
12/31/20237,516-47-75980N/A
9/30/20237,454-130-77982N/A
6/30/20237,395-3331621,142N/A
3/31/20237,159-5432801,113N/A
12/31/20226,761-1843311,096N/A
9/30/20226,380-120218977N/A
6/30/20225,930-246219915N/A
3/31/20225,438-266142861N/A
12/31/20215,137-681251898N/A
9/30/20214,933-1,193237778N/A
6/30/20214,587-978319810N/A
3/31/20214,365-1,135306765N/A
12/31/20204,196-1,11674502N/A
9/30/20203,857-68922472N/A
6/30/20203,719-684-174297N/A
3/31/20203,557-636-238220N/A
12/31/20193,347-452-207251N/A
9/30/20193,068-450-151251N/A
6/30/20192,621-392N/A188N/A
3/31/20192,242-520N/A19N/A
12/31/20181,853-483N/A19N/A
12/31/20171,333-101N/A126N/A
12/31/2016934-152N/A81N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GFL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-45.1% per year).

Earnings vs Market: GFL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-45.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: GFL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GFL's revenue (2.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (10.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GFL's revenue (2.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GFL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.9%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/14 22:53
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/14 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

GFL Environmental Inc. is covered by 31 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher MurrayATB Capital Markets
William GrippinBarclays
Moses SuttonBarclays