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There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Booz Allen Hamilton Holding's (NYSE:BAH) Returns On Capital
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Booz Allen Hamilton Holding (NYSE:BAH) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Booz Allen Hamilton Holding is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.095 = US$443m ÷ (US$6.6b - US$1.9b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
So, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding has an ROCE of 9.5%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Professional Services industry average of 12%.
View our latest analysis for Booz Allen Hamilton Holding
In the above chart we have measured Booz Allen Hamilton Holding's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Booz Allen Hamilton Holding here for free.
SWOT Analysis for Booz Allen Hamilton Holding
- Debt is well covered by earnings and cashflows.
- Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
- Earnings declined over the past year.
- Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Professional Services market.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the American market.
- Current share price is below our estimate of fair value.
- Annual revenue is forecast to grow slower than the American market.
How Are Returns Trending?
In terms of Booz Allen Hamilton Holding's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 20%, but since then they've fallen to 9.5%. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
The Bottom Line On Booz Allen Hamilton Holding's ROCE
While returns have fallen for Booz Allen Hamilton Holding in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. And the stock has done incredibly well with a 162% return over the last five years, so long term investors are no doubt ecstatic with that result. So should these growth trends continue, we'd be optimistic on the stock going forward.
On a final note, we've found 3 warning signs for Booz Allen Hamilton Holding that we think you should be aware of.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Booz Allen Hamilton Holding might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:BAH
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding
Provides management and technology consulting, analytics, engineering, digital solutions, mission operations, and cyber services to governments, corporations, and not-for-profit organizations in the United States and internationally.
Very undervalued with solid track record.