Stock Analysis

Virco Mfg. Corporation (NASDAQ:VIRC) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 27%

NasdaqGM:VIRC
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Virco Mfg. Corporation (NASDAQ:VIRC) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 93%, which is great even in a bull market.

Since its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may consider Virco Mfg as a highly attractive investment with its 8.1x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

Virco Mfg certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Virco Mfg

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:VIRC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 25th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Virco Mfg's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Virco Mfg's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Virco Mfg would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. The longer-term trend has been no better as the company has no earnings growth to show for over the last three years either. So it seems apparent to us that the company has struggled to grow earnings meaningfully over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 12% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 15%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Virco Mfg is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Virco Mfg's P/E

Shares in Virco Mfg have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Virco Mfg maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Virco Mfg with six simple checks.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.