Stericycle Valuation

Is SRCL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SRCL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SRCL ($53.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($98.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SRCL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SRCL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SRCL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16.6x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SRCL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SRCL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.3x
CWST Casella Waste Systems
4.5x8.3%US$5.7b
ABM ABM Industries
0.3x1.6%US$2.8b
TTEK Tetra Tech
2.4x7.1%US$9.9b
CLH Clean Harbors
2x5.6%US$10.8b
SRCL Stericycle
1.8x4.0%US$4.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SRCL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the peer average (2.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SRCL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Commercial Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SRCL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the US Commercial Services industry average (1.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SRCL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SRCL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.8x
Fair PS Ratio1.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SRCL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SRCL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$53.10
US$64.60
+21.7%
10.1%US$75.00US$57.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$53.77
US$61.83
+15.0%
13.9%US$75.00US$48.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$48.59
US$53.67
+10.4%
18.5%US$70.00US$40.00n/a6
Jan ’25US$49.56
US$53.67
+8.3%
18.5%US$70.00US$40.00n/a6
Dec ’24US$48.14
US$56.40
+17.2%
15.2%US$70.00US$45.00n/a5
Nov ’24US$41.03
US$57.00
+38.9%
16.2%US$70.00US$45.00n/a5
Oct ’24US$44.71
US$57.00
+27.5%
16.2%US$70.00US$45.00n/a5
Sep ’24US$44.47
US$57.00
+28.2%
16.2%US$70.00US$45.00n/a5
Aug ’24US$42.48
US$57.00
+34.2%
16.2%US$70.00US$45.00n/a5
Jul ’24US$46.44
US$57.80
+24.5%
17.0%US$70.00US$45.00n/a5
Jun ’24US$43.19
US$57.60
+33.4%
17.0%US$70.00US$45.00n/a5
May ’24US$45.55
US$57.60
+26.5%
17.0%US$70.00US$45.00n/a5
Apr ’24US$43.61
US$62.00
+42.2%
10.5%US$70.00US$53.00n/a4
Mar ’24US$47.30
US$62.00
+31.1%
10.5%US$70.00US$53.00US$53.774
Feb ’24US$54.31
US$67.75
+24.7%
7.8%US$75.00US$61.00US$48.594
Jan ’24US$49.89
US$67.75
+35.8%
7.8%US$75.00US$61.00US$49.564
Dec ’23US$52.92
US$67.75
+28.0%
7.8%US$75.00US$61.00US$48.144
Nov ’23US$44.57
US$67.25
+50.9%
8.8%US$75.00US$59.00US$41.034
Oct ’23US$42.11
US$63.20
+50.1%
15.3%US$75.00US$47.00US$44.715
Sep ’23US$49.74
US$63.20
+27.1%
15.3%US$75.00US$47.00US$44.475
Aug ’23US$48.16
US$67.20
+39.5%
21.3%US$85.00US$47.00US$42.485
Jul ’23US$44.37
US$67.20
+51.5%
21.3%US$85.00US$47.00US$46.445
Jun ’23US$49.09
US$63.67
+29.7%
24.0%US$85.00US$46.00US$43.196
May ’23US$50.19
US$73.33
+46.1%
20.0%US$95.00US$56.00US$45.556
Apr ’23US$58.95
US$74.83
+26.9%
18.7%US$95.00US$56.00US$43.616
Mar ’23US$58.25
US$74.83
+28.5%
18.7%US$95.00US$56.00US$47.306

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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