Stock Analysis

Is Hudson Technologies (NASDAQ:HDSN) A Risky Investment?

NasdaqCM:HDSN
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Hudson Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:HDSN) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Hudson Technologies

What Is Hudson Technologies's Debt?

As you can see below, Hudson Technologies had US$86.4m of debt at September 2020, down from US$114.5m a year prior. On the flip side, it has US$9.24m in cash leading to net debt of about US$77.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:HDSN Debt to Equity History January 24th 2021

How Healthy Is Hudson Technologies' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Hudson Technologies had liabilities of US$37.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$85.1m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$9.24m in cash and US$14.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$98.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$52.0m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Hudson Technologies would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Hudson Technologies shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (7.8), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.18 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. One redeeming factor for Hudson Technologies is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of US$2.8m, over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hudson Technologies's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Hudson Technologies actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

To be frank both Hudson Technologies's interest cover and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Overall, it seems to us that Hudson Technologies's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Hudson Technologies you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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