Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc

NasdaqGS:HCCI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.1b

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Heritage-Crystal Clean Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Heritage-Crystal Clean's earnings are forecast to decline at 9% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 2.4% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 10.4% per annum.

Key information

-9.0%

Earnings growth rate

-10.42%

EPS growth rate

Commercial Services earnings growth13.5%
Revenue growth rate2.4%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated17 Oct 2023

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article • Jul 04

Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc (NASDAQ:HCCI) Shares Could Be 31% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Key Insights The projected fair value for Heritage-Crystal Clean is US$54.99 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...
Analysis Article • May 09

Heritage-Crystal Clean (NASDAQ:HCCI) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
Analysis Article • Feb 24

Should You Investigate Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc (NASDAQ:HCCI) At US$35.96?

Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc ( NASDAQ:HCCI ), is not the largest company out there, but it led the NASDAQGS gainers with...
Analysis Article • Dec 21

These 4 Measures Indicate That Heritage-Crystal Clean (NASDAQ:HCCI) Is Using Debt Safely

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analysis Article • Nov 24

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc (NASDAQ:HCCI)

In this article we are going to estimate the intrinsic value of Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc ( NASDAQ:HCCI ) by...
Seeking Alpha • Oct 19

Heritage-Crystal Clean Non-GAAP EPS of $1.01 beats by $0.21, revenue of $172.22M beats by $17.23M

Heritage-Crystal Clean press release (NASDAQ:HCCI): Q3 Non-GAAP EPS of $1.01 beats by $0.21. Revenue of $172.22M (+39.8% Y/Y) beats by $17.23M. Shares +1.58%.
Analysis Article • Oct 19

Is There Now An Opportunity In Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc (NASDAQ:HCCI)?

Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc ( NASDAQ:HCCI ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share...
Analysis Article • Aug 18

Is Now The Time To Put Heritage-Crystal Clean (NASDAQ:HCCI) On Your Watchlist?

The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...
Seeking Alpha • Aug 12

Mittleman - Heritage-Crystal Clean: Great Track Record, Not Enough Credit

Mittleman Investment Management bought a 2.5% weighting in Heritage-Crystal Clean Inc. HCCI is a growth/cyclical business whose valuation is penalised too much by the cyclical exposure with not enough credit for the great track record and prospect of continued growth. If energy prices stay somewhat elevated, the better-than-normal spread HCCI’s re-refining business has enjoyed recently might persist for some time. The following segment was excerpted from this fund letter. Heritage-Crystal Clean Inc. (HCCI) Mittleman Investment Management, LLC. (MIM) bought a 2.5% weighting in a leading environmental services company that Chris Mittleman has admired for many years, Heritage-Crystal Clean Inc. (HCCI), at an average cost of $26.77 in the waning days of June, with ~49% upside to MIM’s estimate of fair value at $40. As at 1 August the shares are $34, up recently on a stronger than expected quarterly report announced on 27 July, and a large insider buy of 150,000 shares on that same day at $27.00 ($4.05M), bringing CEO Brian Recatto’s total shares directly held to 820,505 ($28M). MIM’s estimate of fair value for HCCI of $40 is based on a $901M EV = 8.6x EBITDAaL (est. for CY2022) of $105M (17.5% margin on $600M sales) = 18x FCF est. of $50M. Closest competitor, Clean Harbors / Safety-Kleen (CLH $90) trades at 8.5x EBITDA (est. 2022) and 18x FCF (CLH has roughly same EBITDA margin as HCCI, despite being 8x larger). Below a description of the company from the most recent 10-Q: Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc., a Delaware corporation and its subsidiaries (collectively the “Company”), provide parts cleaning, hazardous and non-hazardous containerized waste, used oil collection, wastewater vacuum, antifreeze recycling and field services primarily to small and mid-sized industrial and vehicle maintenance customers. The Company owns and operates a used oil re-refinery where it re-refines used oils and sells high quality base oil for use in the manufacture of finished lubricants as well as other rerefinery products. The Company also has multiple locations where it dehydrates used oil. The oil processed at these locations is primarily sold as recycled fuel oil. The Company also operates multiple non-hazardous waste processing facilities as well as antifreeze recycling facilities at which it produces virgin-quality antifreeze. The Company’s locations are in the United States and Ontario, Canada. The Company conducts its primary business operations through Heritage-Crystal Clean, LLC, its wholly owned subsidiary, and all intercompany balances have been eliminated in consolidation. The Company has two reportable segments: “Environmental Services” and “Oil Business.” The Environmental Services segment consists of the Company’s parts cleaning, containerized waste management, wastewater vacuum, antifreeze recycling activities, and field services. The Oil Business segment consists of the Company’s used oil collection, recycled fuel oil sales, used oil rerefining activities, and used oil filter removal and disposal services. No customer represented greater than 10% of consolidated revenues for any of the periods presented. There were no intersegment revenues. Both segments operate in the United States and, to an immaterial degree, in Ontario, Canada. As such, the Company is not disclosing operating results by geographic segment. For those seeking more detail, the company’s website is highly informative: www.crystal-clean.com This is a growth/cyclical business, with about 40% of sales from re-refining of used oil, and 60% from less cyclical environmental services. MIM thinks the valuation is penalised too much by the cyclical exposure with not enough credit for the great track record and prospect of continued growth. The oil re-refining business is operating at an all-time high for HCCI recently, so that is likely to flatten out and with the obvious risk that it might more severely revert to the mean. But then again, if energy prices stay somewhat elevated the better than normal spread HCCI’s re-refining business has enjoyed recently might persist for some time. The cost of the used motor oil that HCCI collects from its various customers has risen, but not as much as the re-refined products which HCCI sells, mostly Group 2 Base Oil that goes into various lubricants. Also, IMO 2020 (International Maritime Organization) regulations implemented on 1 January 2020 impose stricter sulfur limits on marine fuel, which increases demand for HCCI’s clean (low sulfur) fuel output. MIM’s willingness to endure the risk that the oil re-refining business is unsustainably over-earning is because the environmental services side of the business (60%) holds a more than offsetting amount of appeal, both from organic growth expectations and from acquisitions, like the $156M purchase of Patriot Environmental Services announced on 30 June 2022. On the 28 July Q2 earnings report conference call, HCCI’s management quantified the valuation paid for Patriot Environmental as 5.5x actual 2021 EBITDA, but 9x normalised 2021 EBITDA (excluding one big unusual contract). But, after cost saving synergies expected in year 1 of $7M, the post-synergies multiple paid drops back to 6.5x. A seemingly smart deal that is a continuation of their 22-year track record of growing organically and with accretive M&A.
Analysis Article • Jul 21

Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Heritage-Crystal Clean (NASDAQ:HCCI)

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Seeking Alpha • Jun 27

Heritage-Crystal Clean: Not A Bad Prospect Despite Its Issues

Heritage-Crystal Clean has had a mixed operating history over the past few years, but recent financial performance is encouraging. The company is benefiting from a favorable trend, but investors should not expect current trends to last forever. Even in the event that financial performance worsens a great deal, though, the company does not look like a bad prospect.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 13

Heritage-Crystal Clean: Upside Exists But The Easy Money Has Been Made

We advised the subscribers to our research to buy HCCI at $14 per share in September 2020. The business has been running smoothly over the last twelve months while Heritage-Crystal Clean has maintained a rock-solid balance sheet. Sector outlook is positive. Although the easy money has been made, HCCI stock still has upside potential from $28 per share for investors with an investment horizon of 2-5 years.
Seeking Alpha • Jan 11

Heritage-Crystal Clean: Undervalued And Yet Still Outperforming Its Peers

Heritage-Crystal Clean is an under-the-radar company, but its stock performance is notable, beating the S&P 500 for the last five years. Cash flows from operations have more than doubled thanks in part to higher base oil prices and several quarters of record EBITDA. The Company’s growing cash balance and pristine cash balance position the Company well for 2022. I rate Heritage-Crystal Clean as a BUY and explain why it deserves a small position in a prospective investor’s portfolio.
Analysis Article • Dec 28

Heritage-Crystal Clean's (NASDAQ:HCCI) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'll...
Analysis Article • Dec 01

Is Now The Time To Put Heritage-Crystal Clean (NASDAQ:HCCI) On Your Watchlist?

Like a puppy chasing its tail, some new investors often chase 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story...
Analysis Article • Oct 19

An Intrinsic Calculation For Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc (NASDAQ:HCCI) Suggests It's 34% Undervalued

In this article we are going to estimate the intrinsic value of Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc ( NASDAQ:HCCI ) by taking...
Analysis Article • Sep 28

At US$30.00, Is It Time To Put Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc (NASDAQ:HCCI) On Your Watch List?

Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc ( NASDAQ:HCCI ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise...
Analysis Article • Jun 04

Heritage-Crystal Clean (NASDAQ:HCCI) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. One common approach is to try and...
Analysis Article • Apr 06

A Look At The Fair Value Of Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc (NASDAQ:HCCI)

Today we will run through one way of estimating the intrinsic value of Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc ( NASDAQ:HCCI ) by...
Analysis Article • Mar 22

Does Heritage-Crystal Clean (NASDAQ:HCCI) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article • Mar 07

Why Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc (NASDAQ:HCCI) Could Be Worth Watching

Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc ( NASDAQ:HCCI ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price...
Analysis Article • Feb 05

Can You Imagine How Jubilant Heritage-Crystal Clean's (NASDAQ:HCCI) Shareholders Feel About Its 197% Share Price Gain?

When you buy a stock there is always a possibility that it could drop 100%. But on the bright side, if you buy shares...
Analysis Article • Jan 21

Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc's (NASDAQ:HCCI) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?

Heritage-Crystal Clean (NASDAQ:HCCI) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 42...
Analysis Article • Jan 06

An Intrinsic Calculation For Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc (NASDAQ:HCCI) Suggests It's 20% Undervalued

How far off is Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc ( NASDAQ:HCCI ) from its intrinsic value? Using the most recent financial...
Analysis Article • Dec 22

Does Heritage-Crystal Clean's (NASDAQ:HCCI) CEO Salary Compare Well With Industry Peers?

Brian Recatto became the CEO of Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc ( NASDAQ:HCCI ) in 2017, and we think it's a good time to...
Analysis Article • Dec 09

Here's Why Heritage-Crystal Clean (NASDAQ:HCCI) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Analysis Article • Nov 26

At US$21.11, Is It Time To Put Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc (NASDAQ:HCCI) On Your Watch List?

Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc (NASDAQ:HCCI), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:HCCI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202482264N/AN/A4
12/31/202377952N/AN/A3
6/30/20237997642100N/A
3/31/2023763884594N/A
12/31/2022709854593N/A
9/10/2022638755086N/A
6/18/2022589716089N/A
3/26/2022549657299N/A
1/1/2022515616791N/A
9/11/2021478486685N/A
6/19/2021442344768N/A
3/27/2021404163150N/A
1/2/2021406122145N/A
9/5/20204134940N/A
6/13/202043061446N/A
3/21/2020456162155N/A
12/28/201944482253N/A
9/7/2019433131743N/A
6/15/2019428131543N/A
3/23/2019423121340N/A
12/29/201841015730N/A
9/8/2018399241836N/A
6/16/2018383221430N/A
3/24/2018369231833N/A
12/30/2017366283145N/A
9/9/2017357203446N/A
6/17/201735517N/A52N/A
3/25/201735012N/A44N/A
12/31/20163486N/A38N/A
9/10/20163410N/A36N/A
6/18/20163420N/A34N/A
3/26/20163440N/A31N/A
1/2/20163501N/A29N/A
9/12/2015367-6N/A20N/A
6/20/2015362-6N/A17N/A
3/28/2015357-6N/A16N/A
1/3/2015339-7N/A15N/A
9/6/20143145N/A22N/A
6/14/20143044N/A20N/A
3/22/20142893N/A16N/A
12/28/20132835N/A15N/A
9/7/20132692N/A11N/A
6/15/20132631N/A9N/A
3/23/20132622N/A9N/A
12/29/20122522N/A3N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HCCI's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-9% per year).

Earnings vs Market: HCCI's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: HCCI's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: HCCI's revenue (2.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HCCI's revenue (2.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if HCCI's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2023/10/18 15:27
End of Day Share Price 2023/10/16 00:00
Earnings2023/06/30
Annual Earnings2022/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc is covered by 12 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David MantheyBaird
Alexander ParisBarrington Research Associates, Inc.
Kevin SteinkeBarrington Research Associates, Inc.