Stock Analysis

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CWST)?

NasdaqGS:CWST
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While Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CWST) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NASDAQGS, rising to highs of US$114 and falling to the lows of US$97.50. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Casella Waste Systems' current trading price of US$106 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Casella Waste Systems’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Casella Waste Systems

What's The Opportunity In Casella Waste Systems?

The stock is currently trading at US$106 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 31% compared to our intrinsic value of $80.68. This means that the opportunity to buy Casella Waste Systems at a good price has disappeared! If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Since Casella Waste Systems’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Casella Waste Systems look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:CWST Earnings and Revenue Growth December 16th 2024

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Casella Waste Systems' earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in CWST’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe CWST should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on CWST for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for CWST, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Casella Waste Systems you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.