Traton Valuation

Is TRAT.Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TRAT.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TRAT.Y ($31.07) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($85.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TRAT.Y is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TRAT.Y?

Key metric: As TRAT.Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TRAT.Y. This is calculated by dividing TRAT.Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TRAT.Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.3x
Earnings€2.57b
Market Cap€13.75b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TRAT.Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TRAT.Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.6x
ALSN Allison Transmission Holdings
14.3x4.6%US$10.3b
OSK Oshkosh
10.9x7.2%US$7.4b
FSS Federal Signal
28.1x7.5%US$6.0b
WAB Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies
33.4x16.4%US$34.9b
TRAT.Y Traton
5.3x8.4%US$13.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TRAT.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the peer average (21.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TRAT.Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Machinery Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AIRJ AirJoule Technologies
2xn/aUS$446.75m
CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group
2.8x-46.6%US$80.55m
FATH Fathom Digital Manufacturing
2.6xn/aUS$35.24m
ZEVY Lightning eMotors
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
TRAT.Y 5.3xIndustry Avg. 25.3xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TRAT.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the US Machinery industry average (25.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TRAT.Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TRAT.Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TRAT.Y's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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