Traton SE

OTCPK:TRAT.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$14.9b

Traton Valuation

Is TRAT.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TRAT.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TRAT.F ($29.94) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($83.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TRAT.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TRAT.F?

Key metric: As TRAT.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TRAT.F. This is calculated by dividing TRAT.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TRAT.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.6x
Earnings€2.57b
Market Cap€14.35b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TRAT.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TRAT.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.4x
ALSN Allison Transmission Holdings
14.3x4.6%US$10.2b
OSK Oshkosh
10.7x7.2%US$7.1b
WAB Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies
32.9x16.4%US$34.7b
FSS Federal Signal
27.5x7.5%US$5.8b
TRAT.F Traton
5.6x8.4%US$14.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TRAT.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.6x) compared to the peer average (21.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TRAT.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Machinery Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AIRJ AirJoule Technologies
1.9xn/aUS$442.86m
CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group
2.8x-46.6%US$77.97m
FATH Fathom Digital Manufacturing
2.6xn/aUS$35.24m
ZEVY Lightning eMotors
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
TRAT.F 5.6xIndustry Avg. 25.0xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TRAT.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.6x) compared to the US Machinery industry average (24.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TRAT.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TRAT.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TRAT.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TRAT.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$29.94
US$39.28
+31.2%
23.5%US$57.90US$22.11n/a15
Nov ’25n/a
US$40.45
0%
23.9%US$59.82US$22.84n/a15
Oct ’25US$32.58
US$40.11
+23.1%
24.0%US$60.88US$23.25n/a16
Sep ’25n/a
US$40.80
0%
24.1%US$61.39US$24.56n/a15
Aug ’25US$30.57
US$39.98
+30.8%
23.2%US$59.53US$23.81n/a15
Jul ’25US$31.68
US$39.28
+24.0%
22.4%US$58.92US$23.57n/a15
Jun ’25US$35.62
US$39.91
+12.0%
22.1%US$59.56US$23.82n/a15
May ’25US$36.27
US$37.86
+4.4%
25.3%US$58.97US$22.52n/a16
Apr ’25US$36.00
US$34.42
-4.4%
29.1%US$53.71US$21.27n/a15
Mar ’25US$26.10
US$29.00
+11.1%
21.7%US$43.35US$21.46n/a14
Feb ’25US$24.53
US$28.52
+16.3%
22.1%US$43.58US$21.57n/a15
Jan ’25US$24.00
US$27.97
+16.5%
22.1%US$43.06US$21.31n/a15
Dec ’24US$21.67
US$27.68
+27.7%
22.5%US$42.78US$21.18n/a15
Nov ’24US$19.05
US$26.80
+40.7%
23.3%US$42.23US$20.90n/a16
Oct ’24US$20.44
US$26.90
+31.6%
25.2%US$43.09US$17.24US$32.5816
Sep ’24US$20.17
US$26.90
+33.4%
25.2%US$43.09US$17.24n/a16
Aug ’24US$22.57
US$26.91
+19.2%
26.0%US$43.99US$17.59US$30.5716
Jul ’24US$21.12
US$26.72
+26.5%
25.1%US$41.74US$17.58US$31.6815
Jun ’24n/a
US$26.07
0%
25.1%US$41.24US$17.36US$35.6216
May ’24US$22.89
US$25.00
+9.2%
23.4%US$38.39US$17.55US$36.2716
Apr ’24US$19.03
US$22.81
+19.9%
25.0%US$38.17US$16.36US$36.0015
Mar ’24US$16.33
US$20.20
+23.7%
22.5%US$32.14US$15.00US$26.1014
Feb ’24US$17.09
US$20.38
+19.3%
23.6%US$32.74US$14.73US$24.5314
Jan ’24US$15.11
US$19.49
+29.0%
24.0%US$31.85US$14.33US$24.0014
Dec ’23US$15.71
US$19.04
+21.2%
27.3%US$30.22US$13.10US$21.6715
Nov ’23US$12.44
US$18.73
+50.6%
27.1%US$29.63US$12.84US$19.0515

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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