NFI Group Valuation

Is NFYE.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NFYE.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NFYE.F ($10.86) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($18.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NFYE.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NFYE.F?

Key metric: As NFYE.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for NFYE.F. This is calculated by dividing NFYE.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is NFYE.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.4x
SalesUS$3.07b
Market CapUS$1.28b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does NFYE.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for NFYE.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.6x
BLBD Blue Bird
0.9x9.9%US$1.2b
REVG REV Group
0.6x2.6%US$1.5b
WNC Wabash National
0.4x0.5%US$830.3m
ASTE Astec Industries
0.7x3.7%US$837.3m
NFYE.F NFI Group
0.4x15.9%US$1.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: NFYE.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does NFYE.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Machinery Industry?

18 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HY Hyster-Yale
0.2x-0.6%US$929.88m
TWI Titan International
0.2x2.2%US$438.82m
PKOH Park-Ohio Holdings
0.3x3.9%US$430.11m
MTW Manitowoc Company
0.2x2.4%US$369.53m
NFYE.F 0.4xIndustry Avg. 1.7xNo. of Companies21PS01.22.43.64.86+
18 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: NFYE.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the US Machinery industry average (1.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NFYE.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NFYE.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: NFYE.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NFYE.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$10.86
US$14.61
+34.6%
9.0%US$16.54US$13.30n/a5
Nov ’25US$11.16
US$15.42
+38.2%
8.3%US$16.90US$13.64n/a5
Oct ’25US$13.31
US$15.88
+19.4%
5.0%US$16.60US$14.43n/a5
Sep ’25US$14.38
US$15.88
+10.4%
5.0%US$16.60US$14.43n/a5
Aug ’25US$13.50
US$12.39
-8.3%
18.3%US$15.89US$9.13n/a5
Jul ’25US$11.30
US$12.36
+9.4%
17.2%US$15.33US$9.12n/a5
Jun ’25US$11.33
US$12.07
+6.5%
14.7%US$13.89US$9.12n/a5
May ’25US$8.20
US$11.35
+38.4%
13.4%US$13.26US$8.85n/a5
Apr ’25US$9.52
US$11.35
+19.2%
13.4%US$13.26US$8.85n/a5
Mar ’25US$8.86
US$11.36
+28.2%
13.4%US$13.26US$8.85n/a5
Feb ’25US$8.88
US$11.66
+31.3%
13.6%US$13.31US$8.92n/a5
Jan ’25US$10.42
US$11.48
+10.2%
13.8%US$13.05US$8.63n/a5
Dec ’24US$9.51
US$11.31
+18.9%
16.7%US$13.05US$7.79n/a5
Nov ’24US$9.20
US$11.04
+20.0%
18.2%US$13.22US$7.94US$11.164
Oct ’24US$9.25
US$9.87
+6.7%
13.9%US$11.01US$7.94US$13.313
Sep ’24US$9.20
US$9.85
+7.1%
14.2%US$11.01US$7.89US$14.383
Aug ’24US$8.26
US$9.08
+10.0%
22.2%US$11.35US$6.44US$13.503
Jul ’24US$8.42
US$8.30
-1.4%
14.4%US$9.45US$6.37US$11.304
Jun ’24US$6.74
US$7.90
+17.2%
15.1%US$9.17US$6.30US$11.333
May ’24US$5.95
US$8.56
+43.8%
17.7%US$10.28US$6.32US$8.204
Apr ’24US$6.06
US$8.54
+40.9%
18.1%US$10.28US$6.24US$9.524
Mar ’24US$6.69
US$9.09
+35.9%
29.3%US$13.22US$6.24US$8.864
Feb ’24US$8.10
US$9.34
+15.3%
28.8%US$13.25US$6.33US$8.884
Jan ’24US$7.01
US$9.50
+35.6%
25.9%US$13.25US$6.27US$10.425
Dec ’23US$7.49
US$9.99
+33.4%
21.7%US$13.52US$7.51US$9.515
Nov ’23US$6.83
US$9.73
+42.4%
20.0%US$13.12US$7.38US$9.205

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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