MISUMI Group Valuation

Is MSUX.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MSUX.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MSUX.F ($14.67) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($16.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MSUX.F is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MSUX.F?

Key metric: As MSUX.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MSUX.F. This is calculated by dividing MSUX.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MSUX.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.3x
EarningsJP¥32.17b
Market CapJP¥685.83b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MSUX.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MSUX.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.5x
MWA Mueller Water Products
34.1x24.6%US$4.0b
JBT John Bean Technologies
27.4x-7.8%US$4.0b
FELE Franklin Electric
26.8x9.3%US$5.0b
GTES Gates Industrial
29.7x25.6%US$5.6b
MSUX.F MISUMI Group
21.3x9.6%US$685.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MSUX.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.3x) compared to the peer average (29.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MSUX.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Machinery Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AIRJ AirJoule Technologies
2xn/aUS$446.75m
CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group
2.8x-46.6%US$80.55m
FATH Fathom Digital Manufacturing
2.6xn/aUS$35.24m
ZEVY Lightning eMotors
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
MSUX.F 21.3xIndustry Avg. 25.3xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MSUX.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.3x) compared to the US Machinery industry average (25.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MSUX.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MSUX.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MSUX.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MSUX.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$14.67
US$20.48
+39.7%
7.7%US$22.06US$16.87n/a7
Nov ’25n/a
US$21.32
0%
7.7%US$22.96US$17.56n/a7
Oct ’25n/a
US$21.71
0%
8.8%US$23.49US$17.27n/a7
Sep ’25n/a
US$21.58
0%
8.9%US$23.24US$17.09n/a7
Aug ’25US$18.10
US$20.35
+12.4%
8.5%US$22.11US$16.91n/a7
Jul ’25n/a
US$18.69
0%
11.9%US$20.90US$15.20n/a8
Jun ’25n/a
US$18.51
0%
11.9%US$21.06US$15.31n/a7
May ’25US$16.29
US$18.39
+12.9%
11.9%US$20.92US$15.22n/a7
Apr ’25n/a
US$18.12
0%
13.5%US$22.68US$16.01n/a6
Mar ’25n/a
US$18.12
0%
13.5%US$22.68US$16.01n/a6
Feb ’25n/a
US$18.22
0%
13.2%US$22.95US$16.20n/a6
Jan ’25n/a
US$18.72
0%
12.9%US$23.87US$16.85n/a6
Dec ’24n/a
US$18.97
0%
13.1%US$22.71US$16.03n/a5
Nov ’24n/a
US$20.72
0%
22.6%US$29.92US$15.96n/a6
Oct ’24n/a
US$22.27
0%
21.5%US$30.52US$16.28n/a6
Sep ’24n/a
US$23.48
0%
18.2%US$30.77US$17.78n/a6
Aug ’24US$18.79
US$26.34
+40.2%
23.8%US$38.27US$18.43US$18.106
Jul ’24n/a
US$27.92
0%
16.5%US$37.56US$23.65n/a7
Jun ’24n/a
US$28.64
0%
17.1%US$38.45US$21.36n/a7
May ’24US$24.90
US$29.44
+18.2%
17.9%US$40.37US$22.02US$16.297
Apr ’24n/a
US$29.89
0%
18.2%US$41.92US$22.87n/a8
Mar ’24n/a
US$29.12
0%
18.8%US$40.39US$22.03n/a8
Feb ’24n/a
US$31.15
0%
24.1%US$48.62US$23.15n/a8
Jan ’24n/a
US$31.32
0%
21.2%US$46.90US$24.57n/a8
Dec ’23n/a
US$29.99
0%
22.2%US$45.31US$23.73n/a8
Nov ’23US$21.29
US$28.20
+32.5%
22.2%US$42.73US$22.38n/a8

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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